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ITALY - SERIE D, GROUP E
US Follonica Gavorrano crestUFUSF
14:00Sun 18 Oct
ACPAC Prato 1908 crestAP

US Follonica Gavorrano vs AC Prato 1908

CLASS E
Pick cardFull analysisShare
THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group E. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

Form. US Follonica Gavorrano have won five, drawn five and lost none of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W W. AC Prato 1908 have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W.

The numbers. US Follonica Gavorrano score 1.7 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. AC Prato 1908 score 1.5 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. AC Prato 1908 average 12.2 shots (5.0 on target), 7.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: US Follonica Gavorrano 1-1 AC Prato 1908 (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USF 5 of 5 (100%) · ACP 8 of 8 (100%)95.2%
US Follonica Gavorrano: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · AC Prato 1908: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · US Follonica Gavorrano: only games against sides at AC Prato 1908's level · AC Prato 1908: only games against sides at US Follonica Gavorrano's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USF 4 of 5 (80%) · ACP 8 of 8 (100%)88%
US Follonica Gavorrano: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · AC Prato 1908: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · US Follonica Gavorrano: only games against sides at AC Prato 1908's level · AC Prato 1908: only games against sides at US Follonica Gavorrano's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USF 4 of 5 (80%) · ACP 7 of 8 (88%)73.9%
US Follonica Gavorrano: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · AC Prato 1908: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · US Follonica Gavorrano: only games against sides at AC Prato 1908's level · AC Prato 1908: only games against sides at US Follonica Gavorrano's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.3%
US Follonica Gavorrano goals →
AC Prato 1908 goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.9%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
US FOLLONICA GAVORRANOWDDWDWWWDD2.00 PPG
AC PRATO 1908LDWWDWWDWW2.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
US FOLLONICA GAVORRANO HOMExAC PRATO 1908 AWAY
1.70SCORED A GAME1.501.00CONCEDED A GAME0.6030%CLEAN SHEETS50%
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
2.00POINTS A GAME2.43+0.67GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.00–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.22.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.26LEAGUE GAMES7
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
69%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
19%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
98%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
US FOLLONICA GAVORRANO OR DRAW
73%
NO · 80/85
AC PRATO 1908 OR DRAW
66%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
US FOLLONICA GAVORRANOxAC PRATO 1908
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.200.60CONCEDED A GAME0.402.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%60%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
US Follonica Gavorrano have scored in 100% of their games.
AC Prato 1908 have scored in 90% of their games.
US Follonica Gavorrano kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
AC Prato 1908 kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague table
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