Match details. Serie D, Group E. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. ASD Terranuova Traiana have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L W. Scandicci have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W W.
The numbers. ASD Terranuova Traiana score 1.3 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Scandicci score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Scandicci average 11.0 shots (5.0 on target), 3.8 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Scandicci or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Scandicci or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Scandicci or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: ASD Terranuova Traiana 1-1 Scandicci (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).