Match details. Serie D, Group D. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. GS Arconatese 1926 have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L L. Varese FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D W.
The numbers. GS Arconatese 1926 score 0.8 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. GS Arconatese 1926 average 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Varese FC score 1.8 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets. Varese FC average 10.0 shots (3.8 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
The read. A draw. An open game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Varese FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: GS Arconatese 1926 2-2 Varese FC (6% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Varese FC (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GSA 2 of 5 (40%) · VAR 5 of 6 (83%)53.4%
Varese FC won 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · GS Arconatese 1926 lost 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 62% · Varese FC: only games against sides at GS Arconatese 1926's level · GS Arconatese 1926: only games against sides at Varese FC's level · won 3, refunded 4, lost 3
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GSA 9 of 9 (100%) · VAR 4 of 5 (80%)92.8%
GS Arconatese 1926: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Varese FC: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · GS Arconatese 1926: only games against sides at Varese FC's level · Varese FC: only games against sides at GS Arconatese 1926's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GSA 8 of 9 (89%) · VAR 4 of 5 (80%)76.1%
GS Arconatese 1926: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Varese FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 88% · GS Arconatese 1926: only games against sides at Varese FC's level · Varese FC: only games against sides at GS Arconatese 1926's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.95
GSA 5 of 9 (56%) · VAR 3 of 5 (60%)51.1%
GS Arconatese 1926: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Varese FC: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 47% · GS Arconatese 1926: only games against sides at Varese FC's level · Varese FC: only games against sides at GS Arconatese 1926's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GSA 6 of 9 (67%) · VAR 3 of 5 (60%)55.8%
GS Arconatese 1926: both scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Varese FC: both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 58% · GS Arconatese 1926: only games against sides at Varese FC's level · Varese FC: only games against sides at GS Arconatese 1926's level
GS ARCONATESE 1926 GOALS
GS Arconatese 1926 Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GSA 6 of 9 (67%) · VAR 3 of 5 (60%)72.9%
GS Arconatese 1926 scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Varese FC conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · GS Arconatese 1926: only games against sides at Varese FC's level · Varese FC: only games against sides at GS Arconatese 1926's level
VARESE FC GOALS
Varese FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GSA 4 of 5 (80%) · VAR 9 of 9 (100%)75.7%
Varese FC scored in 4 of 5 away · GS Arconatese 1926 conceded in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Varese FC: only games against sides at GS Arconatese 1926's level · GS Arconatese 1926: only games against sides at Varese FC's level
Left off the list: Varese FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Varese FC or Over 1.5 Goals (the call is a draw)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–25.6%
GS Arconatese 1926 goals →
Varese FC goals ↓
0-07%
1-08%
2-06%
3-02%
4-00.8%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-27%
1-29%
2-26%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.9%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.4%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
GS ARCONATESE 1926WLLLDLLDDL0.60 PPG
VARESE FCLWDLDWDLLW1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
GS ARCONATESE 1926 HOMExVARESE FC AWAY
0.80SCORED A GAME1.602.10CONCEDED A GAME1.700%CLEAN SHEETS40%4.00CORNERS A GAME3.802.00CARDS A GAME2.60
THE BANK
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
78%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
23%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
92%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
GS ARCONATESE 1926 OR DRAW
74%
NO · 80/85
VARESE FC OR DRAW
84%
OKAY · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
TRENDS
GS Arconatese 1926 have scored in 70% of their games.
Varese FC have scored in 80% of their games.
GS Arconatese 1926 kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
Varese FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards