ITALY - SERIE D, GROUP C
14:00Sun 18 Oct
OBE
OBE
Legnago Salus vs Obermais
CLASS E
THE READ
Match details. Serie D, Group C. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Legnago Salus have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L W. Obermais have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L D.
The numbers. Legnago Salus score 0.8 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Obermais score 1.3 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Obermais average 2.5 corners and 0.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%.
The case against. Obermais's record still gives them 31% to win.
The read. Legnago Salus to win. Their goals for and against make Legnago Salus the likelier winners; Legnago Salus are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Legnago Salus 2-1 Obermais (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Legnago Salus or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEG 4 of 5 (80%) · OBE 7 of 8 (88%)85.2%
Legnago Salus: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Obermais: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Legnago Salus: only games against sides at Obermais's level · Obermais: only games against sides at Legnago Salus's level
Legnago Salus or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEG 4 of 5 (80%) · OBE 5 of 8 (62%)70.9%
Legnago Salus: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Obermais: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Legnago Salus: only games against sides at Obermais's level · Obermais: only games against sides at Legnago Salus's level
Legnago Salus or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEG 3 of 5 (60%) · OBE 6 of 8 (75%)70.5%
Legnago Salus: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Obermais: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Legnago Salus: only games against sides at Obermais's level · Obermais: only games against sides at Legnago Salus's level
Legnago Salus (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEG 4 of 7 (57%) · OBE 3 of 5 (60%)68.2%
Legnago Salus won 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Obermais lost 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 59% · Legnago Salus: only games against sides at Obermais's level · Obermais: only games against sides at Legnago Salus's level · won 3, refunded 3, lost 4
Legnago Salus or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEG 2 of 5 (40%) · OBE 6 of 8 (75%)61.9%
Legnago Salus: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · Obermais: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Legnago Salus: only games against sides at Obermais's level · Obermais: only games against sides at Legnago Salus's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEG 5 of 5 (100%) · OBE 8 of 8 (100%)93.6%
Legnago Salus: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Obermais: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Legnago Salus: only games against sides at Obermais's level · Obermais: only games against sides at Legnago Salus's level
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEG 5 of 5 (100%) · OBE 7 of 8 (88%)93.1%
Legnago Salus: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Obermais: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Legnago Salus: only games against sides at Obermais's level · Obermais: only games against sides at Legnago Salus's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEG 5 of 5 (100%) · OBE 7 of 8 (88%)84.1%
Legnago Salus: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Obermais: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Legnago Salus: only games against sides at Obermais's level · Obermais: only games against sides at Legnago Salus's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEG 2 of 5 (40%) · OBE 4 of 8 (50%)55.8%
Legnago Salus: both scored in 2 of 5 at home · Obermais: both scored in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 47% · Legnago Salus: only games against sides at Obermais's level · Obermais: only games against sides at Legnago Salus's level
LEGNAGO SALUS GOALS
Legnago Salus Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEG 3 of 5 (60%) · OBE 6 of 8 (75%)82.3%
Legnago Salus scored in 3 of 5 at home · Obermais conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Legnago Salus: only games against sides at Obermais's level · Obermais: only games against sides at Legnago Salus's level
OBERMAIS GOALS
Obermais Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEG 6 of 8 (75%) · OBE 4 of 5 (80%)67.2%
Obermais scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Legnago Salus conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 71% · Obermais: only games against sides at Legnago Salus's level · Legnago Salus: only games against sides at Obermais's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.7%
Legnago Salus goals →
Obermais goals ↓
0-06%
1-09%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.8%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-16%
4-12%
5-10.8%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.5%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
LEGNAGO SALUSWDLLDWLWLW1.40 PPG
OBERMAISDWLLWDLDLW1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LEGNAGO SALUS HOMExOBERMAIS AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME1.301.30CONCEDED A GAME1.7030%CLEAN SHEETS20%
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.50POINTS A GAME1.17+0.17GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.33–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.46LEAGUE GAMES6
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
65%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
51%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
83%
NO · 85/90
LEGNAGO SALUS OR DRAW
44%
NO · 80/85
OBERMAIS OR DRAW
62%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
LEGNAGO SALUSxOBERMAIS
5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.201.00CONCEDED A GAME1.002.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.260%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%20%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Legnago Salus have scored in 70% of their games.
Obermais have scored in 70% of their games.
Legnago Salus kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Obermais kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague table