Match details. Serie D, Group B. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Villa Dalme Valle Brembana have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W L. Pro Palazzolo have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L W.
The numbers. Villa Dalme Valle Brembana score 1.2 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Villa Dalme Valle Brembana average 9.4 shots (3.8 on target), 7.8 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Pro Palazzolo score one and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Pro Palazzolo average 10.0 shots (4.0 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The case against. Pro Palazzolo's record still gives them 29% to win.
The read. Villa Dalme Valle Brembana to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Villa Dalme Valle Brembana the likelier winners; Villa Dalme Valle Brembana are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Villa Dalme Valle Brembana or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Villa Dalme Valle Brembana or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Villa Dalme Valle Brembana 1-0 Pro Palazzolo (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).