Match details. Serie D, Group B. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Piacenza Calcio have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W D. Caldiero Terme have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W.
The numbers. Piacenza Calcio score 1.8 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Piacenza Calcio average 9.6 shots (4.0 on target), 6.3 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Caldiero Terme score 2.3 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Caldiero Terme average 9.2 shots (4.5 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Piacenza Calcio or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Piacenza Calcio or Both Teams Score (the call is a draw); Piacenza Calcio or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Piacenza Calcio 1-1 Caldiero Terme (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).