PAVPAV

14:00Sun 18 Oct

USF

Pavonese vs US Fiorenzuola

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group B. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

Form. Pavonese have won two, drawn two and lost three of their last seven, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D L. US Fiorenzuola have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D L L.

The numbers. Pavonese score 0.7 and concede 1.3 a game over their last seven, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Pavonese average 8.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game. US Fiorenzuola score 0.5 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and seven games without a goal. US Fiorenzuola average 6.0 shots (1.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 28%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Pavonese or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Pavonese (Draw No Bet) (no result call); Pavonese Over 0.5 Goals (Pavonese's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: Pavonese 1-1 US Fiorenzuola (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PAV 6 of 6 (100%) · USF 9 of 9 (100%)96.2%

Pavonese: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · US Fiorenzuola: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Pavonese: only games against sides at US Fiorenzuola's level · US Fiorenzuola: only games against sides at Pavonese's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PAV 5 of 6 (83%) · USF 9 of 9 (100%)89.9%

Pavonese: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · US Fiorenzuola: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Pavonese: only games against sides at US Fiorenzuola's level · US Fiorenzuola: only games against sides at Pavonese's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PAV 5 of 6 (83%) · USF 9 of 9 (100%)77.1%

Pavonese: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · US Fiorenzuola: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Pavonese: only games against sides at US Fiorenzuola's level · US Fiorenzuola: only games against sides at Pavonese's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.59

PAV 4 of 6 (67%) · USF 7 of 9 (78%)56%

Pavonese: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · US Fiorenzuola: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Pavonese: only games against sides at US Fiorenzuola's level · US Fiorenzuola: only games against sides at Pavonese's level

Left off the list: Pavonese or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Pavonese (Draw No Bet) (no result call); Pavonese Over 0.5 Goals (Pavonese's own games don't back it (3 of 6))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.5%

Pavonese goals →

US Fiorenzuola goals ↓

0-010%

1-011%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

PAVONESEDLLDWWL1.14 PPG

US FIORENZUOLADWDLLLLDDD0.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

PAVONESE HOMExUS FIORENZUOLA AWAY

0.71SCORED A GAME0.501.29CONCEDED A GAME0.8029%CLEAN SHEETS40%8.00CORNERS A GAME4.001.00CARDS A GAME2.00

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.20POINTS A GAME0.50-0.80GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.50–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.65LEAGUE GAMES6

Pavonese: the quality side - more points a game.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

34%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

16%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

94%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

PAVONESE OR DRAW

76%

NO · 80/85

US FIORENZUOLA OR DRAW

46%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

PAVONESExUS FIORENZUOLA

5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME0.201.60CONCEDED A GAME0.602.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES0.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS20%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS0%20%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Pavonese have scored in 43% of their games.

US Fiorenzuola have scored in 30% of their games.

Pavonese kept a clean sheet in 29% of their games.

US Fiorenzuola kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards