GLGSD

14:00Sun 18 Oct

USA

Gsd Lascaris vs US Alessandria Calcio 1912

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group A. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

Form. Gsd Lascaris have won four, drawn two and lost three of their last nine, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D W. US Alessandria Calcio 1912 have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W.

The numbers. Gsd Lascaris score 0.7 and concede 0.9 a game over their last nine, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Gsd Lascaris average 6.0 corners and 4.0 cards a game. US Alessandria Calcio 1912 score 1.9 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. US Alessandria Calcio 1912 average 11.8 shots (5.8 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.2 cards a game.

The case against. Gsd Lascaris's record still gives them 29% to win.

The read. US Alessandria Calcio 1912 to win. A tight game. US Alessandria Calcio 1912 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour US Alessandria Calcio 1912. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: US Alessandria Calcio 1912 or Under 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); US Alessandria Calcio 1912 or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); US Alessandria Calcio 1912 or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Gsd Lascaris 0-1 US Alessandria Calcio 1912 (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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GSD 7 of 7 (100%) · USA 7 of 7 (100%)95.3%

Gsd Lascaris: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · US Alessandria Calcio 1912: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Gsd Lascaris: only games against sides at US Alessandria Calcio 1912's level · US Alessandria Calcio 1912: only games against sides at Gsd Lascaris's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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GSD 7 of 7 (100%) · USA 6 of 7 (86%)88.1%

Gsd Lascaris: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · US Alessandria Calcio 1912: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Gsd Lascaris: only games against sides at US Alessandria Calcio 1912's level · US Alessandria Calcio 1912: only games against sides at Gsd Lascaris's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

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GSD 2 of 7 (29%) · USA 5 of 7 (71%)53.1%

Gsd Lascaris: both scored in 2 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · US Alessandria Calcio 1912: both scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · Gsd Lascaris: only games against sides at US Alessandria Calcio 1912's level · US Alessandria Calcio 1912: only games against sides at Gsd Lascaris's level

GSD LASCARIS GOALS

Gsd Lascaris Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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GSD 5 of 7 (71%) · USA 5 of 7 (71%)72.6%

Gsd Lascaris scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · US Alessandria Calcio 1912 conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Gsd Lascaris: only games against sides at US Alessandria Calcio 1912's level · US Alessandria Calcio 1912: only games against sides at Gsd Lascaris's level

US ALESSANDRIA CALCIO 1912 GOALS

US Alessandria Calcio 1912 Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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GSD 7 of 7 (100%) · USA 4 of 7 (57%)72.2%

US Alessandria Calcio 1912 scored in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gsd Lascaris conceded in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · US Alessandria Calcio 1912: only games against sides at Gsd Lascaris's level · Gsd Lascaris: only games against sides at US Alessandria Calcio 1912's level

Left off the list: US Alessandria Calcio 1912 or Under 2.5 Goals (the numbers (73%) and the records (93%) are 20 points apart, and nothing settles it); US Alessandria Calcio 1912 or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); US Alessandria Calcio 1912 or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 9%

Gsd Lascaris goals →

US Alessandria Calcio… goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-06%

3-03%

4-00.9%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

GSD LASCARISWLLWWDLDW1.56 PPG

US ALESSANDRIA CALCIO 1912WDWWLWWWLW2.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

GSD LASCARIS HOMExUS ALESSANDRIA CALCIO 1912 AWAY

0.67SCORED A GAME1.900.89CONCEDED A GAME1.3044%CLEAN SHEETS20%6.00CORNERS A GAME5.004.00CARDS A GAME1.00

THE BANK

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

86%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

37%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

94%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

GSD LASCARIS OR DRAW

66%

NO · 80/85

US ALESSANDRIA CALCIO 1912 OR DRAW

58%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRENDS

Gsd Lascaris have scored in 67% of their games.

US Alessandria Calcio 1912 have scored in 100% of their games.

Gsd Lascaris kept a clean sheet in 44% of their games.

US Alessandria Calcio 1912 kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards