Portsmouth FC vs Millwall FC
Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at Fratton Park, Portsmouth.
What's at stake. Portsmouth FC are 13th on 15 points after 11 games, level on points with Millwall, 1 point clear of Wrexham. A win would take them above Millwall. Millwall FC are 12th on 15 points after 11 games, level on points with Sheffield Utd, level on points with Portsmouth. A win would take them above Sheffield Utd.
Team news. Portsmouth FC are without B. Arthur (back injury), C. Bishop (inactive), L. Brooke-Smith (ankle injury), M. Kosznovszky (knee injury), J. Murphy (groin injury), C. Ogilvie (knee injury). Millwall FC are without J. Coburn (muscle injury), C. De Norre (muscle injury), M. Ivanovic (hamstring injury), L. Jensen (muscle injury), M. Luongo (knee injury), M. Servais (inactive).
Form. Portsmouth FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L D. Millwall FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D D.
The numbers. Portsmouth FC score 1.3 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Portsmouth FC average 15.5 shots (3.8 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. Millwall FC score 1.3 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Millwall FC average 12.4 shots (3.9 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 45% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Portsmouth FC have won two, drawn none and lost six. Four of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Portsmouth FC won two and Millwall FC won two. The last time they met, on 21 Feb 2026, it finished Portsmouth FC 3-1 Millwall FC: Portsmouth FC had 15 shots to 6, 47% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The case against. Millwall FC's record still gives them 36% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The read. Portsmouth FC or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Portsmouth FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.32, 74% on the records (Portsmouth FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10; Millwall FC: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 9). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Portsmouth FC 1-1 Millwall FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).