Match details. Superettan, Regular Season - 28. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time. It is played at Jämtkraft Arena, Ostersund. The referee is Per Martin Melin.
What's at stake. Ostersunds FK are 4th on 45 points after 27 games, 1 point behind Varbergs BoIS FC, 2 points clear of Landskrona BoIS. A win would take them above Varbergs BoIS FC. United IK Nordic are 8th on 39 points after 27 games, level on points with Osters IF, 4 points clear of Sandviken. A win would take them above Osters IF.
Form. Ostersunds FK have won three, drawn seven and lost none of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W D. In this competition Ostersunds FK have gone D D D W D W. United IK Nordic have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D L. In this competition United IK Nordic have gone W L L D L W.
The numbers. Ostersunds FK score 0.8 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Ostersunds FK average 8.9 shots (2.7 on target), 7.4 corners and 0.9 cards a game, with 57% of the ball. United IK Nordic score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. United IK Nordic average 11.7 shots (3.7 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 9 Jun 2026, it finished Ostersunds FK 1-1 United IK Nordic: Ostersunds FK had 7 shots to 20, 45% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 66% against the records' 32%.
The read. No firm call: Ostersunds FK are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Ostersunds FK the likelier winners; Ostersunds FK are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 23%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: United IK Nordic Over 0.5 goals (Ostersunds FK's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Ostersunds FK 1-1 United IK Nordic (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).