Match details. Premium Liiga, Regular Season - 34. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Laagri kunstmurustaadion.
What's at stake. Harju JK Laagri are 6th on 44 points after 32 games, 3 points behind Tammeka, 8 points clear of Vaprus. A win would take them level on points with Tammeka. Tallinna FC Flora are 2nd on 58 points after 32 games, 23 points behind FC Levadia Tallinn, 1 point clear of Paide. Harju JK Laagri have nothing left to play for.
Form. Harju JK Laagri have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. Tallinna FC Flora have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W.
The numbers. Harju JK Laagri score one and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Harju JK Laagri average 4.5 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Tallinna FC Flora score 1.8 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Tallinna FC Flora average 6.7 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Harju JK Laagri have won one, drawn none and lost nine. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Harju JK Laagri won one and Tallinna FC Flora won three. The last time they met, on 2 Aug 2026, it finished Harju JK Laagri 0-1 Tallinna FC Flora.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Harju JK Laagri the likelier winners, but both teams' records favour Tallinna FC Flora; the meetings favour Tallinna FC Flora.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, 78% on the records (Harju JK Laagri: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Tallinna FC Flora: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10). Backup: Harju JK Laagri Over 0.5 Goals at 1.26. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Harju JK Laagri or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Tallinna FC Flora or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Harju JK Laagri 2-1 Tallinna FC Flora (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).