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ESTONIA - PREMIUM LIIGA
Harju JK Laagri crestHJHAR
16:00Wed 21 Oct
TALTallinna FC Flora crestTF

Harju JK Laagri vs Tallinna FC Flora

CLASS D
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
83
TOTAL GOALS
Class D
Harju JK Laagri crestHJvTallinna FC Flora crestTF
Over 1.5 Goals
Harju JK Laagri v Tallinna FC Flora
Estonia - Premium Liiga · 16:00
1.13odds
88%book
-5edge
3/3angles
THE READ

Match details. Premium Liiga, Regular Season - 34. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Laagri kunstmurustaadion.

What's at stake. Harju JK Laagri are 6th on 44 points after 32 games, 3 points behind Tammeka, 8 points clear of Vaprus. A win would take them level on points with Tammeka. Tallinna FC Flora are 2nd on 58 points after 32 games, 23 points behind FC Levadia Tallinn, 1 point clear of Paide. Harju JK Laagri have nothing left to play for.

Form. Harju JK Laagri have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. Tallinna FC Flora have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W.

The numbers. Harju JK Laagri score one and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Harju JK Laagri average 4.5 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Tallinna FC Flora score 1.8 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Tallinna FC Flora average 6.7 corners and 2.1 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Harju JK Laagri have won one, drawn none and lost nine. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Harju JK Laagri won one and Tallinna FC Flora won three. The last time they met, on 2 Aug 2026, it finished Harju JK Laagri 0-1 Tallinna FC Flora.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Harju JK Laagri the likelier winners, but both teams' records favour Tallinna FC Flora; the meetings favour Tallinna FC Flora.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, 78% on the records (Harju JK Laagri: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Tallinna FC Flora: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10). Backup: Harju JK Laagri Over 0.5 Goals at 1.26. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Harju JK Laagri or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Tallinna FC Flora or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Harju JK Laagri 2-1 Tallinna FC Flora (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HAR 4 of 5 (80%) · TAL 10 of 10 (100%)95.1%
Harju JK Laagri: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Tallinna FC Flora: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 6 of 6 · Harju JK Laagri: only games against sides at Tallinna FC Flora's level · Tallinna FC Flora: only games against sides at Harju JK Laagri's level
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.13
HAR 3 of 5 (60%) · TAL 10 of 10 (100%)83.3%
Harju JK Laagri: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Tallinna FC Flora: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 5 of 6 · Harju JK Laagri: only games against sides at Tallinna FC Flora's level · Tallinna FC Flora: only games against sides at Harju JK Laagri's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.41
HAR 0 of 5 (0%) · TAL 8 of 10 (80%)58.8%
Harju JK Laagri: over 2.5 goals in 0 of 5 at home · Tallinna FC Flora: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 57% · H2H 4 of 6 · Harju JK Laagri: only games against sides at Tallinna FC Flora's level · Tallinna FC Flora: only games against sides at Harju JK Laagri's level
HARJU JK LAAGRI GOALS
Harju JK Laagri Over 0.5 goalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.25
HAR 3 of 5 (60%) · TAL 9 of 10 (90%)79.1%
Harju JK Laagri scored in 3 of 5 at home · Tallinna FC Flora conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · H2H 3 of 6 · Harju JK Laagri: only games against sides at Tallinna FC Flora's level · Tallinna FC Flora: only games against sides at Harju JK Laagri's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.12
HAR 3 of 5 (60%) · TAL 6 of 10 (60%)72.2%
Harju JK Laagri: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Tallinna FC Flora: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Harju JK Laagri: only games against sides at Tallinna FC Flora's level · Tallinna FC Flora: only games against sides at Harju JK Laagri's level
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.21
HAR 3 of 5 (60%) · TAL 8 of 10 (80%)70%
Harju JK Laagri: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Tallinna FC Flora: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Harju JK Laagri: only games against sides at Tallinna FC Flora's level · Tallinna FC Flora: only games against sides at Harju JK Laagri's level
Left off the list: Harju JK Laagri or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Tallinna FC Flora or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Tallinna FC Flora or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Harju JK Laagri or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Harju JK Laagri or Tallinna FC Flora (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.4%
Harju JK Laagri goals →
Tallinna FC Flora goals ↓
0-07%
1-09%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-16%
1-112%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-24%
1-27%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.5%
1-40.8%
2-40.7%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
HARJU JK LAAGRIWWWWDWLLWW2.20 PPG
TALLINNA FC FLORAWLLWWDWWLL1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
HARJU JK LAAGRI HOMExTALLINNA FC FLORA AWAY
1.41SCORED A GAME1.941.47CONCEDED A GAME1.3860%CLEAN SHEETS10%25%FAILED TO SCORE12%4.53CORNERS A GAME6.662.41CARDS A GAME2.13
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.67POINTS A GAME1.67+0.17GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00+1.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-4.71.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.06LEAGUE GAMES6
Harju JK Laagri: the quality side - more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
81%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
74%
NO · 85/90
HARJU JK LAAGRI OR DRAW
67%
NO · 80/85
TALLINNA FC FLORA OR DRAW
64%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
HARJU JK LAAGRIxTALLINNA FC FLORA
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME2.201.20CONCEDED A GAME1.802.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS100%40%BOTH SCORE100%5.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.610.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.4
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
HARJU JK LAAGRI 1 · 10%DRAW 0TALLINNA FC FLORA 9 · 90%
4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
8 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
6 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
4 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2023-05-19Harju JK Laagri 0 – 1 Tallinna FC Flora
2023-08-25Harju JK Laagri 0 – 2 Tallinna FC Flora
2023-10-22Harju JK Laagri 2 – 3 Tallinna FC Flora
2025-04-22Harju JK Laagri 1 – 4 Tallinna FC Flora
2025-05-09Harju JK Laagri 0 – 3 Tallinna FC Flora
2025-08-16Harju JK Laagri 1 – 3 Tallinna FC Flora
2025-10-04Harju JK Laagri 1 – 2 Tallinna FC Flora
2026-03-22Harju JK Laagri 2 – 0 Tallinna FC Flora
TRENDS
Harju JK Laagri have scored in 80% of their games.
Tallinna FC Flora have scored in 90% of their games.
Harju JK Laagri kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
Tallinna FC Flora kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards
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