FTFCT

11:00Wed 21 Oct

KAS

FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. J1 League, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at Ajinomoto Stadium, Chofu.

What's at stake. FC Tokyo are 3rd on 23 points after 10 games, level on points with Machida Zelvia, 1 point clear of Vissel Kobe. A win would take them above Machida Zelvia. Kashiwa Reysol are 5th on 21 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Vissel Kobe, 2 points clear of Kashima. A win would take them above Vissel Kobe.

Form. FC Tokyo have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W. Kashiwa Reysol have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D W.

The numbers. FC Tokyo score 2.2 and concede 0.2 a game over their last ten, with eight clean sheets. FC Tokyo average 16.9 shots (5.4 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 57% of the ball. Kashiwa Reysol score 2.5 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Kashiwa Reysol average 16.0 shots (4.9 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings FC Tokyo have won three, drawn three and lost three. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, FC Tokyo won one, one was drawn and Kashiwa Reysol won two. The last time they met, on 29 Apr 2026, it finished FC Tokyo 3-1 Kashiwa Reysol: FC Tokyo had 18 shots to 13, 43% of the ball, one yellow card.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%; five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.

The case against. Kashiwa Reysol's record still gives them 31% to win.

The read. FC Tokyo to win. A draw is live. Their goals for and against make FC Tokyo the likelier winners; FC Tokyo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Tokyo.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FC Tokyo 2-1 Kashiwa Reysol (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

FC Tokyo or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.24

FCT 5 of 5 (100%) · KAS 7 of 7 (100%)94.4%

FC Tokyo scored first 5 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Kashiwa Reysol trailed or failed to win in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · FC Tokyo: only games against sides at Kashiwa Reysol's level · Kashiwa Reysol: only games against sides at FC Tokyo's level

FC Tokyo or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCT 7 of 7 (100%) · KAS 6 of 6 (100%)91.7%

FC Tokyo: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Kashiwa Reysol: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 5 of 6 · FC Tokyo: only games against sides at Kashiwa Reysol's level · Kashiwa Reysol: only games against sides at FC Tokyo's level

FC Tokyo or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.37

FCT 6 of 7 (86%) · KAS 6 of 6 (100%)84.8%

FC Tokyo: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Kashiwa Reysol: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · H2H 3 of 6 · FC Tokyo: only games against sides at Kashiwa Reysol's level · Kashiwa Reysol: only games against sides at FC Tokyo's level

FC Tokyo or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES

1.20

FCT 7 of 7 (100%) · KAS 6 of 6 (100%)83.3%

FC Tokyo: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Kashiwa Reysol: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 6 · FC Tokyo: only games against sides at Kashiwa Reysol's level · Kashiwa Reysol: only games against sides at FC Tokyo's level

FC Tokyo to Win Either Half: YesPAGE ONLY

1.58

FCT 6 of 7 (86%) · KAS 5 of 6 (83%)75.9%

FC Tokyo: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Kashiwa Reysol: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · FC Tokyo: only games against sides at Kashiwa Reysol's level · Kashiwa Reysol: only games against sides at FC Tokyo's level

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.26

FCT 6 of 7 (86%) · KAS 6 of 6 (100%)88.8%

FC Tokyo: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Kashiwa Reysol: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · H2H 5 of 6 · FC Tokyo: only games against sides at Kashiwa Reysol's level · Kashiwa Reysol: only games against sides at FC Tokyo's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.16

FCT 7 of 7 (100%) · KAS 3 of 6 (50%)79.9%

FC Tokyo: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Kashiwa Reysol: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · FC Tokyo: only games against sides at Kashiwa Reysol's level · Kashiwa Reysol: only games against sides at FC Tokyo's level

FC TOKYO GOALS

FC Tokyo Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.22

FCT 7 of 7 (100%) · KAS 6 of 6 (100%)77.5%

FC Tokyo scored in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Kashiwa Reysol conceded in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 6 · FC Tokyo: only games against sides at Kashiwa Reysol's level · Kashiwa Reysol: only games against sides at FC Tokyo's level

HALVES

2nd Half - FC Tokyo Over/Under: Over 0.5LEANPAGE ONLY

1.63

FCT 7 of 7 (100%) · KAS 5 of 6 (83%)69%

FC Tokyo: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Kashiwa Reysol: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · H2H 2 of 6 · on half-time scores · FC Tokyo: only games against sides at Kashiwa Reysol's level · Kashiwa Reysol: only games against sides at FC Tokyo's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.4%

FC Tokyo goals →

Kashiwa Reysol goals ↓

0-07%

1-09%

2-08%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-17%

1-112%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-24%

1-27%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-40.5%

1-40.8%

2-40.7%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

FC TOKYOWLWWWWWWDW2.50 PPG

KASHIWA REYSOLLWWDWWLWLL1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FC TOKYO HOMExKASHIWA REYSOL AWAY

2.10SCORED A GAME2.200.80CONCEDED A GAME1.7080%CLEAN SHEETS10%0%FAILED TO SCORE20%5.30CORNERS A GAME5.701.50CARDS A GAME1.252.19xG1.630.86xG AGAINST1.17

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.38POINTS A GAME2.10+1.38GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.50+5.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+4.12.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.88LEAGUE GAMES10

FC Tokyo: the quality side - a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

91%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

62%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

72%

NO · 85/90

FC TOKYO OR DRAW

50%

NO · 80/85

KASHIWA REYSOL OR DRAW

50%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FC TOKYOxKASHIWA REYSOL

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME2.201.00CONCEDED A GAME1.402.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9

FC TOKYO 3 · 33%DRAW 3KASHIWA REYSOL 3 · 33%

6 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED

7 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS

4 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS

4 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS

2022-08-27FC Tokyo 6 – 3 Kashiwa Reysol

2023-02-26FC Tokyo 1 – 1 Kashiwa Reysol

2023-07-01FC Tokyo 1 – 0 Kashiwa Reysol

2024-05-11FC Tokyo 3 – 3 Kashiwa Reysol

2024-07-06FC Tokyo 2 – 3 Kashiwa Reysol

2025-04-11FC Tokyo 1 – 1 Kashiwa Reysol

2025-07-05FC Tokyo 0 – 1 Kashiwa Reysol

2026-02-28FC Tokyo 0 – 2 Kashiwa Reysol

TRENDS

FC Tokyo have scored in 90% of their games.

Kashiwa Reysol have scored in 80% of their games.

FC Tokyo kept a clean sheet in 80% of their games.

Kashiwa Reysol kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards