Ayacucho FC vs Union Comercio
Match details. Liga 2, Promotion Group - 4. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Ayacucho FC are 7th on 19 points after 16 games, 2 points behind Santos, 2 points clear of Estudiantil CNI. A win would take them above Santos. Union Comercio are 1st on 32 points after 16 games, 2 points clear of Carlos A. Mannucci. Ayacucho FC have nothing left to play for.
Form. Ayacucho FC have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. In this competition Ayacucho FC have gone L L W L L W. Union Comercio have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L W. In this competition Union Comercio have gone W L W L W D.
The numbers. Ayacucho FC score 2.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Ayacucho FC average 11.2 shots (4.2 on target), 5.8 corners and 4.0 cards a game. Union Comercio score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Union Comercio average 3.4 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Ayacucho FC have won three, drawn three and lost four. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Ayacucho FC won one, one was drawn and Union Comercio won two. The last time they met, on 12 Oct 2026, it finished Ayacucho FC 0-5 Union Comercio.
The case against. Ayacucho FC's record still gives them 42% to win.
The read. Union Comercio to win. A tight game. Union Comercio are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Union Comercio. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 3.5 Goals (Union Comercio are a clear winner, no Unders); Union Comercio or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Ayacucho FC 0-1 Union Comercio (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).