Match details. Liga de Ascenso, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. AD Sarchi are 11th on 11 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Futbol Consultants Moravia, 2 points clear of CS Uruguay. A win would take them above Futbol Consultants Moravia. Municipal Grecia are 8th on 15 points after 9 games, level on points with AD Carmelita, level on points with Guadalupe FC. A win would take them above AD Carmelita.
Form. AD Sarchi have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L W. Municipal Grecia have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D D.
The numbers. AD Sarchi score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. AD Sarchi average 12.7 shots (4.6 on target), 6.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Municipal Grecia score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Municipal Grecia average 9.6 shots (3.1 on target), 4.9 corners and 3.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings AD Sarchi have won three, drawn three and lost four. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, AD Sarchi won one, one was drawn and Municipal Grecia won two. The last time they met, on 30 Aug 2026, it finished AD Sarchi 0-1 Municipal Grecia.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The read. A draw. Little separates them, and both sides draw often.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Municipal Grecia or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Municipal Grecia or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Municipal Grecia 1UP (the call is a draw). Predicted score: AD Sarchi 1-1 Municipal Grecia (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).