Match details. Ykkonen. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. VJS have won one, drawn four and lost one of their last six league games, 1.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D D W D. TPV Tampere have won two, drawn two and lost two of their last six league games, 1.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W D D L.
The numbers. VJS score 1.3 and concede 1.5 a game over their last six, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. VJS average 7.7 corners and 2.1 cards a game. TPV Tampere score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game over their last six, with one clean sheet. TPV Tampere average 5.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: VJS 1-1 TPV Tampere (10% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (TPV Tampere the favourite), a tight game.
The league run. VJS: unbeaten in their last five league games (W W D D D). TPV Tampere: up and down in the league (L W L D D).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).