Match details. Ykkonen, Group Stage. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Porin Stadion.
What's at stake. FC Jazz are 6th on 39 points after 26 games, 2 points behind OLS, 1 point clear of PKKU. A win would take them above OLS. KuPS Akatemia are 12th on 15 points after 26 games, 3 points behind KPV-j. A win would take them level on points with KPV-j. FC Jazz have nothing left to play for. KuPS Akatemia have nothing left to play for.
Form. FC Jazz have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten league games, 1.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W L W W. In this competition FC Jazz have gone L W L W W D. KuPS Akatemia have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten league games, 0.5 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition KuPS Akatemia have gone L L L L L W.
The numbers. FC Jazz score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. FC Jazz average 4.7 corners and 1.7 cards a game. KuPS Akatemia score 2.2 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. KuPS Akatemia average 5.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings FC Jazz have won three, drawn one and lost two. Five of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, FC Jazz won two, one was drawn and KuPS Akatemia won one. The last time they met, on 30 Jul 2026, it finished FC Jazz 2-2 KuPS Akatemia.
The case against. KuPS Akatemia's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. FC Jazz to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Jazz the likelier winners; FC Jazz are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Jazz. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%. Five of the last six meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: FC Jazz or Draw at 1.17, rated 78% (FC Jazz unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; KuPS Akatemia failed to win 4 of 5 away). Predicted score: FC Jazz 2-1 KuPS Akatemia (9% chance).
The agreed story. FC Jazz or the draw, an open game.
The league run. FC Jazz: one defeat in their last five league games (W L D W D). KuPS Akatemia: lost their last two league games (L L L D D).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).