Hamburger SV II vs VfB Oldenburg
Match details. Regionalliga North, North - 14. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Hamburger SV II are 13th on 13 points after 12 games, level on points with Eintracht Norderstedt, level on points with SSV Jeddeloh. A win would take them above Eintracht Norderstedt. VfB Oldenburg are 5th on 25 points after 12 games, 2 points behind Phönix Lübeck, 1 point clear of Schöningen. A win would take them above Phönix Lübeck.
Form. Hamburger SV II have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L. In this competition Hamburger SV II have gone W L W L L W. VfB Oldenburg have won six, drawn none and lost three of their last nine, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W. In this competition VfB Oldenburg have gone W L L W W L.
The numbers. Hamburger SV II score 0.2 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. VfB Oldenburg score 3.3 and concede 1.7 a game over their last nine, with two clean sheets.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Hamburger SV II have won one, drawn three and lost three. Three of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Hamburger SV II won one, two were drawn and VfB Oldenburg won one. The last time they met, on 6 Dec 2025, it finished Hamburger SV II 0-0 VfB Oldenburg.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%; four of the last seven meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Hamburger SV II's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. VfB Oldenburg to win. Their goals for and against make VfB Oldenburg the likelier winners; VfB Oldenburg are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour VfB Oldenburg.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or VfB Oldenburg at 1.14, 78% on the records (VfB Oldenburg unbeaten in 6 of 9; Hamburger SV II failed to win 5 of 5 at home). Backup: Hamburger SV II Under 1.5 Goals at 1.43. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (VfB Oldenburg are a clear winner, no Unders); VfB Oldenburg Over 0.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (VfB Oldenburg are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Hamburger SV II 1-3 VfB Oldenburg (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).