Match details. J3 League, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 06:00 Lagos time. It is played at Pikara, Marugame.
What's at stake. Kamatamare Sanuki are 19th on 5 points after 10 games, 3 points behind Fukushima United, level on points with Kochi United. A win would take them level on points with Fukushima United. Roasso Kumamoto are 9th on 14 points after 10 games, level on points with Kanazawa, level on points with Biwako Shiga. A win would take them above Kanazawa.
Form. Kamatamare Sanuki have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L. In this competition Kamatamare Sanuki have gone L D L L L L. Roasso Kumamoto have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D W. In this competition Roasso Kumamoto have gone L D W D W D.
The numbers. Kamatamare Sanuki score 1.2 and concede two a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Kamatamare Sanuki average 5.5 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Roasso Kumamoto score one and concede 0.2 a game in their last five away, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Roasso Kumamoto average 4.9 corners and 0.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Kamatamare Sanuki have won one, drawn five and lost four. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, one was drawn and Roasso Kumamoto won three. The last time they met, on 24 Oct 2021, it finished Kamatamare Sanuki 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%.
The read. Roasso Kumamoto to win. Roasso Kumamoto are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Roasso Kumamoto; the meetings favour Roasso Kumamoto.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Kamatamare Sanuki 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).