Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time.
Form. Tivoli Gardens have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D W. Dunbeholden FC have won two, drawn none and lost eight of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L.
The numbers. Tivoli Gardens score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Tivoli Gardens average 3.7 shots (2.0 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Dunbeholden FC score none and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and five games without a goal. Dunbeholden FC average 6.5 shots (2.8 on target), 2.2 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
The case against. Dunbeholden FC's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. Tivoli Gardens to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Tivoli Gardens the likelier winners; Tivoli Gardens are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Tivoli Gardens. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. Best bet: Tivoli Gardens or Draw at 1.18, 78% on the records (Tivoli Gardens unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home; Dunbeholden FC failed to win 5 of 5 away). Backup: Tivoli Gardens or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Tivoli Gardens or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 4.5 Goals (Tivoli Gardens are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Tivoli Gardens are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Tivoli Gardens 1-0 Dunbeholden FC (11% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Tivoli Gardens or Under 2.5 GoalsBACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.20
TIV 4 of 5 (80%) · DUN 5 of 5 (100%)88.4%
Tivoli Gardens: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Dunbeholden FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Tivoli Gardens: only games against sides at Dunbeholden FC's level · Dunbeholden FC: only games against sides at Tivoli Gardens's level
Tivoli Gardens or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.14
TIV 4 of 5 (80%) · DUN 5 of 5 (100%)86.9%
Tivoli Gardens: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Dunbeholden FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Tivoli Gardens: only games against sides at Dunbeholden FC's level · Dunbeholden FC: only games against sides at Tivoli Gardens's level
Double Chance: Tivoli Gardens or DrawMAININ CODES
1.22
TIV 3 of 5 (60%) · DUN 5 of 5 (100%)80.9%
Tivoli Gardens unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home · Dunbeholden FC failed to win 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · Tivoli Gardens: only games against sides at Dunbeholden FC's level · Dunbeholden FC: only games against sides at Tivoli Gardens's level
Tivoli Gardens (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
1.28
TIV 3 of 8 (38%) · DUN 5 of 5 (100%)74.4%
Tivoli Gardens won 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Dunbeholden FC lost 5 of 5 away (draws left out) · both last 10: 59% · Tivoli Gardens: only games against sides at Dunbeholden FC's level · Dunbeholden FC: only games against sides at Tivoli Gardens's level · won 7, refunded 1, lost 2
Tivoli Gardens to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.69
TIV 2 of 5 (40%) · DUN 5 of 5 (100%)58.5%
Tivoli Gardens won 2 of 5 at home · Dunbeholden FC lost 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · Tivoli Gardens: only games against sides at Dunbeholden FC's level · Dunbeholden FC: only games against sides at Tivoli Gardens's level
TIVOLI GARDENS GOALS
Tivoli Gardens Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.15
TIV 4 of 5 (80%) · DUN 5 of 5 (100%)83.4%
Tivoli Gardens scored in 4 of 5 at home · Dunbeholden FC conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Tivoli Gardens: only games against sides at Dunbeholden FC's level · Dunbeholden FC: only games against sides at Tivoli Gardens's level
DUNBEHOLDEN FC GOALS
Dunbeholden FC Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.36
TIV 5 of 5 (100%) · DUN 3 of 5 (60%)77.4%
Dunbeholden FC scored under 1.5 in 5 of 5 away · Tivoli Gardens conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · Dunbeholden FC: only games against sides at Tivoli Gardens's level · Tivoli Gardens: only games against sides at Dunbeholden FC's level
Left off the list: Tivoli Gardens or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (Tivoli Gardens are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Tivoli Gardens are a clear winner - no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Tivoli Gardens or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–011.1%
Tivoli Gardens goals →
Dunbeholden FC goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-010%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.7%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-23%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.5%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
TIVOLI GARDENSWLLLLWDDWL1.10 PPG
DUNBEHOLDEN FCLWLLLLLLLW0.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
TIVOLI GARDENS HOMExDUNBEHOLDEN FC AWAY
1.30SCORED A GAME0.601.80CONCEDED A GAME2.0030%CLEAN SHEETS20%4.33CORNERS A GAME2.252.00CARDS A GAME1.25
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
TIVOLI GARDENS OR DRAW (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.60POINTS A GAME0.60+0.80GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.20–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.65LEAGUE GAMES5
Tivoli Gardens: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
TIVOLI GARDENS 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
85%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
40%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
90%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
TIVOLI GARDENS OR DRAW
77%
NO · 80/85
DUNBEHOLDEN FC OR DRAW
44%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
TIVOLI GARDENSxDUNBEHOLDEN FC
5GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME0.401.20CONCEDED A GAME1.603.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Tivoli Gardens have scored in 70% of their games.
Dunbeholden FC have scored in 30% of their games.
Tivoli Gardens kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Dunbeholden FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards