Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time.
Form. Montego Bay United have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W. Arnett Gardens FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L W.
The numbers. Montego Bay United score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Montego Bay United average 12.8 shots (5.0 on target), 9.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Arnett Gardens FC score 2.6 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Arnett Gardens FC average 12.0 shots (6.9 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Montego Bay United the likelier winners, but Arnett Gardens FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Arnett Gardens FC.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.24, 76% on the records (Montego Bay United: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 6 at home; Arnett Gardens FC: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.20. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Arnett Gardens FC Over 0.5 goals (Montego Bay United's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Arnett Gardens FC win or both teams score (no result call). Predicted score: Montego Bay United 2-1 Arnett Gardens FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).