Al Gharafa SC vs Al Rayyan SC
Match details. Stars League, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 17:45 Lagos time. It is played at Al Gharafa Stadium , Doha.
What's at stake. Al Gharafa SC are 10th on 4 points after 5 games, 2 points behind Lusail City, 1 point clear of Qatar SC. A win would take them above Lusail City. Al Rayyan SC are 1st on 13 points after 5 games, 1 point clear of Al Sadd.
Form. Al Gharafa SC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L D. Al Rayyan SC have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D W.
The numbers. Al Gharafa SC score two and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Al Gharafa SC average 12.7 shots (5.1 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Al Rayyan SC score two and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Al Rayyan SC average 8.0 shots (4.1 on target), 2.6 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Al Gharafa SC have won six, drawn one and lost three. Nine of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, Al Gharafa SC won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 26 Feb 2026, it finished Al Gharafa SC 3-2 Al Rayyan SC.
Where it pulls both ways. Al Rayyan SC are the form side, but the meetings favour Al Gharafa SC: in the last ten meetings, Al Gharafa SC won six, Al Rayyan SC won three and one was drawn.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%. Nine of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.14, 77% on the records (Al Gharafa SC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5; Al Rayyan SC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Al Gharafa SC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Al Rayyan SC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Al Gharafa SC Over 0.5 goals (Al Rayyan SC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Al Gharafa SC 1-2 Al Rayyan SC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).