FC Aarau vs FC Zurich
Match details. Schweizer Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Brügglifeld, Aarau.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. FC Aarau have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W D. FC Zurich have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D L. In this competition FC Zurich have gone W.
The numbers. FC Aarau score two and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. FC Aarau average 17.2 shots (6.4 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game. FC Zurich score 1.6 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. FC Zurich average 13.3 shots (4.7 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last four meetings FC Aarau have won one, drawn one and lost two. Three of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. The last time they met, on 4 May 2017, it finished FC Aarau 3-1 FC Zurich.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make FC Aarau the likelier winners, but FC Zurich are the stronger side on form and the table.
The read. A draw. An open game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 82%. Three of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Both Teams to Score - Yes (the signs point different ways); FC Zurich or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FC Aarau 2-2 FC Zurich (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).