Match details. National 1, Group C - 7. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stade de Balmont, Lyon.
What's at stake. Lyon La Duchere are 16th on 3 points after 6 games, level on points with Chateauroux, 1 point clear of Canet Roussillon. A win would take them above Chateauroux. Bourges FC are 13th on 4 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Limonest, level on points with Istres. A win would take them above Limonest.
Form. Lyon La Duchere have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. Bourges FC have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D D.
The numbers. Lyon La Duchere score 1.5 and concede 2.3 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets. Bourges FC score one and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal.
The read. Bourges FC to win. A tight game. Bourges FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Bourges FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Lyon La Duchere 0-1 Bourges FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).