Match details. Serie D, Group I. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Calcio Avola 1949 have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W. AS Sambiase have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W.
The numbers. Calcio Avola 1949 score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. AS Sambiase score 1.5 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. AS Sambiase average 10.2 shots (4.8 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: AS Sambiase are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Calcio Avola 1949.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Calcio Avola 1949 1-1 AS Sambiase (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).