FK Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow
Match details. Premier League. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 11:45 Lagos time.
Form. FK Rostov have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L L. Lokomotiv Moscow have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D L.
The numbers. FK Rostov score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. FK Rostov average 4.6 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Lokomotiv Moscow score 1.5 and concede one a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Lokomotiv Moscow average 3.0 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.31, 73% on the records (FK Rostov: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 7; Lokomotiv Moscow: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7). Backup: Lokomotiv Moscow Over 0.5 Goals at 1.33. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: FK Rostov or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Lokomotiv Moscow or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FK Rostov 1-2 Lokomotiv Moscow (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).