Match details. Brasileiro Serie A, Regular Season - 32. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 01:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos. The referee is Savio Pereira Sampaio.
What's at stake. Santos FC SP are 8th on 45 points after 31 games, 4 points behind Bahia, 3 points clear of Sao Paulo. EC Bahia BA are 7th on 49 points after 31 games, 1 point behind Atletico-MG, 4 points clear of Santos. A win would take them above Atletico-MG.
Team news. Santos FC SP are without Arthur Melo (muscle injury), G. Escobar (inactive), Gabriel Brazao (shoulder injury), Lucas Verissimo (injury), Vinicius Lira (knee injury), Willian Arao (inactive). G. Escobar is their centre-back. EC Bahia BA are without R. Gomez (yellow cards), Jean Lucas (yellow cards), Leo Vieira (knee injury), R. Gomez (yellow cards), Jean Lucas (yellow cards), Leo Vieira (knee injury).
Form. Santos FC SP have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W W. In this competition Santos FC SP have gone W L D W W W. EC Bahia BA have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W. In this competition EC Bahia BA have gone L W L L W W.
The numbers. Santos FC SP score 1.9 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Santos FC SP average 13.4 shots (4.5 on target), 4.2 corners and 3.6 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. EC Bahia BA score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. EC Bahia BA average 14.2 shots (4.8 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Santos FC SP have won two, drawn four and lost three. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Santos FC SP won one, two were drawn and EC Bahia BA won one. The last time they met, on 25 Apr 2026, it finished Santos FC SP 2-2 EC Bahia BA: Santos FC SP had 11 shots to 18, 36% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
The case against. Santos FC SP without G. Escobar (centre-back). EC Bahia BA's record still gives them 24% to win.
The read. Santos FC SP or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Santos FC SP the likelier winners; Santos FC SP are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Santos FC SP. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%. Five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: EC Bahia BA Under 1.5 goals (EC Bahia BA's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Santos FC SP 2-1 EC Bahia BA (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Santos FC SP or Over 1.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SAN 10 of 10 (100%) · ECB 5 of 5 (100%)90.4%
Santos FC SP: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · EC Bahia BA: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6 · Santos FC SP: only games against sides at EC Bahia BA's level · EC Bahia BA: only games against sides at Santos FC SP's level · the call is Santos FC SP or the draw: Santos FC SP without G. Escobar (centre-back) (rule 3)
Santos FC SP or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.18
SAN 5 of 5 (100%) · ECB 9 of 10 (90%)90%
Santos FC SP scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · EC Bahia BA trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 away
Santos FC SP or Both Teams ScoreTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.19
SAN 10 of 10 (100%) · ECB 4 of 5 (80%)85.2%
Santos FC SP: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · EC Bahia BA: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 4 of 6 · Santos FC SP: only games against sides at EC Bahia BA's level · EC Bahia BA: only games against sides at Santos FC SP's level · the call is Santos FC SP or the draw: Santos FC SP without G. Escobar (centre-back) (rule 3)
Double Chance: Santos FC SP or DrawIN CODES
1.25
SAN 9 of 10 (90%) · ECB 3 of 5 (60%)81.8%
Santos FC SP unbeaten in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · EC Bahia BA failed to win 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 6 · Santos FC SP: only games against sides at EC Bahia BA's level · EC Bahia BA: only games against sides at Santos FC SP's level
Santos FC SP (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
1.56
SAN 7 of 8 (88%) · ECB 3 of 8 (38%)79.8%
Santos FC SP won 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · EC Bahia BA lost 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 62% · H2H 2 of 3 · Santos FC SP: only games against sides at EC Bahia BA's level · EC Bahia BA: only games against sides at Santos FC SP's level · won 3, refunded 3, lost 2
Santos FC SP to Win Either Half: YesTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.39
SAN 9 of 10 (90%) · ECB 3 of 5 (60%)71.7%
Santos FC SP: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · EC Bahia BA: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Santos FC SP: only games against sides at EC Bahia BA's level · EC Bahia BA: only games against sides at Santos FC SP's level · the call is Santos FC SP or the draw: Santos FC SP without G. Escobar (centre-back) (rule 3)
Santos FC SP or Over 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.35
SAN 9 of 10 (90%) · ECB 4 of 5 (80%)70.8%
Santos FC SP: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · EC Bahia BA: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · Santos FC SP: only games against sides at EC Bahia BA's level · EC Bahia BA: only games against sides at Santos FC SP's level · the call is Santos FC SP or the draw: Santos FC SP without G. Escobar (centre-back) (rule 3)
Santos FC SP 1UPTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.52
SAN 4 of 5 (80%) · ECB 7 of 10 (70%)70%
Santos FC SP scored first 2 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · EC Bahia BA trailed in 3 of 5 away · the call is Santos FC SP or the draw: Santos FC SP without G. Escobar (centre-back) (rule 3)
Santos FC SP or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
1.43
SAN 8 of 10 (80%) · ECB 2 of 5 (40%)61.5%
Santos FC SP: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · EC Bahia BA: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · H2H 4 of 6 · Santos FC SP: only games against sides at EC Bahia BA's level · EC Bahia BA: only games against sides at Santos FC SP's level
1X2 - 2UP: Santos FC SPTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.71
SAN 3 of 5 (60%) · ECB 6 of 10 (60%)53.3%
Santos FC SP scored first 2 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 3 · led by 2 or won in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · EC Bahia BA trailed by 2 or lost in 2 of 5 away · the call is Santos FC SP or the draw: Santos FC SP without G. Escobar (centre-back) (rule 3)
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.16
SAN 9 of 10 (90%) · ECB 4 of 5 (80%)75.7%
Santos FC SP: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · EC Bahia BA: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · Santos FC SP: only games against sides at EC Bahia BA's level · EC Bahia BA: only games against sides at Santos FC SP's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.52
SAN 8 of 10 (80%) · ECB 3 of 5 (60%)50.8%
Santos FC SP: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · EC Bahia BA: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 6 · Santos FC SP: only games against sides at EC Bahia BA's level · EC Bahia BA: only games against sides at Santos FC SP's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.52
SAN 8 of 10 (80%) · ECB 3 of 5 (60%)52%
Santos FC SP: both scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · EC Bahia BA: both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · H2H 3 of 6 · Santos FC SP: only games against sides at EC Bahia BA's level · EC Bahia BA: only games against sides at Santos FC SP's level
SANTOS FC SP GOALS
Santos FC SP Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.21
SAN 10 of 10 (100%) · ECB 4 of 5 (80%)84.2%
Santos FC SP scored in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · EC Bahia BA conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 4 of 6 · Santos FC SP: only games against sides at EC Bahia BA's level · EC Bahia BA: only games against sides at Santos FC SP's level
EC BAHIA BA GOALS
EC Bahia BA Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.31
SAN 4 of 5 (80%) · ECB 8 of 10 (80%)58%
EC Bahia BA scored in 4 of 5 away · Santos FC SP conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · EC Bahia BA: only games against sides at Santos FC SP's level · Santos FC SP: only games against sides at EC Bahia BA's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.16
SAN 9 of 10 (90%) · ECB 4 of 5 (80%)83.3%
Santos FC SP: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · EC Bahia BA: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Santos FC SP: only games against sides at EC Bahia BA's level · EC Bahia BA: only games against sides at Santos FC SP's level
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.27
SAN 7 of 10 (70%) · ECB 4 of 5 (80%)71.7%
Santos FC SP: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · EC Bahia BA: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Santos FC SP: only games against sides at EC Bahia BA's level · EC Bahia BA: only games against sides at Santos FC SP's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsIN CODES
1.18
SAN 7 of 8 (88%) · ECB 5 of 8 (62%)75%
Santos FC SP's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · EC Bahia BA's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Santos FC SP: only games against sides at EC Bahia BA's level · EC Bahia BA: only games against sides at Santos FC SP's level
Left off the list: EC Bahia BA Under 1.5 goals (EC Bahia BA's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.6%
Santos FC SP goals →
EC Bahia BA goals ↓
0-07%
1-010%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.7%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
SANTOS FC SPWDWWWWWDLW2.30 PPG
EC BAHIA BADDWWWWLLWL1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SANTOS FC SP HOMExEC BAHIA BA AWAY
1.90SCORED A GAME1.501.10CONCEDED A GAME1.4020%CLEAN SHEETS30%10%FAILED TO SCORE16%4.25CORNERS A GAME5.123.62CARDS A GAME2.621.46xG2.141.28xG AGAINST1.54
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.89POINTS A GAME2.00+0.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.67-1.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.49LEAGUE GAMES9
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
85%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
63%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
78%
NO · 85/90
SANTOS FC SP OR DRAW
80%
OKAY · 80/85
EC BAHIA BA OR DRAW
73%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
SANTOS FC SPxEC BAHIA BA
5GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME2.001.40CONCEDED A GAME1.203.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%100%BOTH SCORE60%5.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–12.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
SANTOS FC SP 2 · 22%DRAW 4EC BAHIA BA 3 · 33%
3 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
5 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2021-02-26Santos FC SP 0 – 2 EC Bahia BA
2021-05-29Santos FC SP 0 – 3 EC Bahia BA
2021-09-12Santos FC SP 0 – 0 EC Bahia BA
2023-05-10Santos FC SP 3 – 0 EC Bahia BA
2023-05-17Santos FC SP 0 – 0 EC Bahia BA
2023-09-18Santos FC SP 2 – 1 EC Bahia BA
2025-04-06Santos FC SP 2 – 2 EC Bahia BA
2025-08-24Santos FC SP 0 – 2 EC Bahia BA
TEAM NEWS
SANTOS FC SP
Out: Arthur Melo (Muscle Injury), G. Escobar (Inactive), Gabriel Brazao (Shoulder Injury), Lucas Verissimo (Injury), Vinicius Lira (Knee Injury), Willian Arao (Inactive)
EC BAHIA BA
Out: R. Gomez (Yellow Cards), Jean Lucas (Yellow Cards), Leo Vieira (Knee Injury), R. Gomez (Yellow Cards), Jean Lucas (Yellow Cards), Leo Vieira (Knee Injury)
TRENDS
Santos FC SP have scored in 90% of their games.
EC Bahia BA have scored in 70% of their games.
Santos FC SP kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
EC Bahia BA kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards