INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUE

AAAGF

20:00Thu 22 Oct

KFE

AGF Aarhus vs KF Egnatia Rrogozhine

CLASS A

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THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class A

AAv

Under 3.5 Goals

AGF Aarhus v KF Egnatia Rrogozhine

International Clubs -… · 20:00

1.47odds

68%book

+14edge

1/1angles

THE READ

Match details. AGF Aarhus host KF Egnatia Rrogozhine at Ceres Park & Arena, Århus in the UEFA Conference League, League Stage - 2. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct at 20:00 Lagos time. The referee is A. Culina.

What's at stake. AGF Aarhus are 29th on 0 points after 1 game, level on points with CSKA Sofia and FC Thun. A win would take them above CSKA Sofia. KF Egnatia Rrogozhine are 19th on 1 point after 1 game, level on points with Heart Of Midlothian and Universitatea Craiova. A win would take them above Heart Of Midlothian.

Form. AGF Aarhus have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, averaging 0.9 points a game. Their last five run is D L W D W, and in this competition they have gone L. KF Egnatia Rrogozhine have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, taking 2.3 points a game. Their last five are W D W W L, and in this competition they have gone D.

The numbers. AGF Aarhus score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. They average 11.4 shots (3.1 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. KF Egnatia Rrogozhine score 2.2 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. They average 14.9 shots (5.3 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.9 cards a game.

The case against. KF Egnatia Rrogozhine's record still gives them 64% to win. Not everything agrees on goals, as their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals, with their records putting over 2.5 goals at 71%.

The read. AGF Aarhus or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make KF Egnatia Rrogozhine the likelier winners, KF Egnatia Rrogozhine are the stronger side on form and the table, and both teams' records favour KF Egnatia Rrogozhine.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.47, 71% on the records (AGF Aarhus: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7; KF Egnatia Rrogozhine: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.22. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 4.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: AGF Aarhus 1-1 KF Egnatia Rrogozhine (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.22

88%

a proven pattern for games read like this one (over 1.5)

Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.47

AGF 5 of 7 (71%) · KFE 5 of 7 (71%)81.6%

AGF Aarhus: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · KF Egnatia Rrogozhine: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · AGF Aarhus: only games against sides at KF Egnatia Rrogozhine's level · KF Egnatia Rrogozhine: only games against sides at AGF Aarhus's level

AGF AARHUS GOALS

AGF Aarhus Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 88%

1.13

AGF 5 of 7 (71%) · KFE 5 of 7 (71%)64.8%

AGF Aarhus scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · KF Egnatia Rrogozhine conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · AGF Aarhus: only games against sides at KF Egnatia Rrogozhine's level · KF Egnatia Rrogozhine: only games against sides at AGF Aarhus's level

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5BACKUPPAGE ONLY

1.22

AGF 6 of 7 (86%) · KFE 5 of 7 (71%)78.6%

AGF Aarhus: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · KF Egnatia Rrogozhine: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · on half-time scores · AGF Aarhus: only games against sides at KF Egnatia Rrogozhine's level · KF Egnatia Rrogozhine: only games against sides at AGF Aarhus's level

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.36

AGF 5 of 7 (71%) · KFE 5 of 7 (71%)71.4%

AGF Aarhus: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · KF Egnatia Rrogozhine: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · on half-time scores · AGF Aarhus: only games against sides at KF Egnatia Rrogozhine's level · KF Egnatia Rrogozhine: only games against sides at AGF Aarhus's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (the numbers (79%) and the records (100%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 10.4%

AGF Aarhus goals →

KF Egnatia Rrogozhine goals ↓

0-05%

1-04%

2-03%

3-01%

4-00.3%

5-00.1%

0-18%

1-110%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.6%

5-10.1%

0-29%

1-210%

2-26%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.1%

0-36%

1-37%

2-34%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-43%

1-43%

2-42%

3-40.7%

4-40.2%

5-40.0%

0-51%

1-51%

2-50.8%

3-50.3%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

AGF AARHUSLLLDLWDWLD0.90 PPG

KF EGNATIA RROGOZHINEWDWWWLWWDW2.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AGF AARHUS HOMExKF EGNATIA RROGOZHINE AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME2.201.60CONCEDED A GAME0.8010%CLEAN SHEETS30%18%FAILED TO SCORE0%4.00CORNERS A GAME4.561.43CARDS A GAME2.89

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.78POINTS A GAME2.57-0.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.43-0.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.61.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.49LEAGUE GAMES7

KF Egnatia Rrogozhine: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

KF EGNATIA RROGOZHINE 0:2 HANDICAP

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373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

99%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

80%

VERY GOOD · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

99%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

AGF AARHUS OR DRAW

58%

NO · 80/85

KF EGNATIA RROGOZHINE OR DRAW

69%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AGF AARHUSxKF EGNATIA RROGOZHINE

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME2.001.40CONCEDED A GAME1.003.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.2–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

AGF Aarhus have scored in 70% of their games.

KF Egnatia Rrogozhine have scored in 90% of their games.

AGF Aarhus kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

KF Egnatia Rrogozhine kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards