TCTOC

11:00Wed 21 Oct

FUJ

Tochigi City FC vs Fujieda MYFC

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. J2 League, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at City Football Station, Tochigi.

What's at stake. Tochigi City FC are 16th on 11 points after 11 games, 2 points behind Blaublitz Akita, level on points with Consadole Sapporo. A win would take them above Blaublitz Akita. Fujieda MYFC are 9th on 14 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Iwaki, level on points with Tegevajaro Miyazaki. A win would take them above Iwaki.

Form. Tochigi City FC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L. Fujieda MYFC have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L D.

The numbers. Tochigi City FC score 1.1 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Tochigi City FC average 3.9 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Fujieda MYFC score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Fujieda MYFC average 5.5 corners and 1.0 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Fujieda MYFC win or both teams score (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Tochigi City FC 1-1 Fujieda MYFC (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.17

TOC 6 of 7 (86%) · FUJ 6 of 7 (86%)92.1%

Tochigi City FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Fujieda MYFC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · Tochigi City FC: only games against sides at Fujieda MYFC's level · Fujieda MYFC: only games against sides at Tochigi City FC's level

TOCHIGI CITY FC GOALS

Tochigi City FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.20

TOC 5 of 7 (71%) · FUJ 5 of 7 (71%)67.6%

Tochigi City FC scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Fujieda MYFC conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Tochigi City FC: only games against sides at Fujieda MYFC's level · Fujieda MYFC: only games against sides at Tochigi City FC's level

FUJIEDA MYFC GOALS

Fujieda MYFC Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.30

TOC 4 of 7 (57%) · FUJ 6 of 7 (86%)63.6%

Fujieda MYFC scored in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Tochigi City FC conceded in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Fujieda MYFC: only games against sides at Tochigi City FC's level · Tochigi City FC: only games against sides at Fujieda MYFC's level

Left off the list: Fujieda MYFC win or both teams score (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.6%

Tochigi City FC goals →

Fujieda MYFC goals ↓

0-09%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-114%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.8%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

TOCHIGI CITY FCDLLLLLLDWW0.80 PPG

FUJIEDA MYFCDLDLDLDLDW0.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

TOCHIGI CITY FC HOMExFUJIEDA MYFC AWAY

1.55SCORED A GAME1.181.64CONCEDED A GAME1.0020%CLEAN SHEETS30%27%FAILED TO SCORE36%3.91CORNERS A GAME5.551.82CARDS A GAME1.00

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.00POINTS A GAME1.27-0.18GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.18-3.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.20.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.811LEAGUE GAMES11

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

82%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

51%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

80%

NO · 85/90

TOCHIGI CITY FC OR DRAW

60%

NO · 80/85

FUJIEDA MYFC OR DRAW

61%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TOCHIGI CITY FCxFUJIEDA MYFC

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.201.80CONCEDED A GAME1.603.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE60%2.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–9.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Tochigi City FC have scored in 70% of their games.

Fujieda MYFC have scored in 60% of their games.

Tochigi City FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Fujieda MYFC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards