Montedio Yamagata vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Match details. J2 League, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 05:00 Lagos time. It is played at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata, Tendo.
What's at stake. Montedio Yamagata are 14th on 13 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Tokushima Vortis, level on points with Blaublitz Akita. A win would take them above Tokushima Vortis. Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo are 17th on 11 points after 11 games, level on points with Tochigi City, level on points with Imabari. A win would take them above Tochigi City.
Form. Montedio Yamagata have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L W. Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L.
The numbers. Montedio Yamagata score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Montedio Yamagata average 4.9 corners and 0.7 cards a game. Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo average 5.8 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Montedio Yamagata have won two, drawn two and lost five. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Montedio Yamagata won one and Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo won three. The last time they met, on 4 Oct 2025, it finished Montedio Yamagata 2-1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Montedio Yamagata the likelier winners, but both teams' records favour Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%; five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo's record still gives them 45% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The read. Montedio Yamagata or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Montedio Yamagata the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.35, 70% on the records (Montedio Yamagata: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 8; Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Montedio Yamagata Over 0.5 goals (Montedio Yamagata's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Montedio Yamagata or draw and under 3.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Montedio Yamagata 1-1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).