Match details. J1 League, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at Japan National Stadium, Tokyo.
What's at stake. Yokohama F Marinos are 8th on 16 points after 10 games, level on points with Kawasaki Frontale, 1 point clear of Urawa. A win would take them above Kawasaki Frontale. Tokyo Verdy are 20th on 4 points after 10 games, 2 points behind JEF United Chiba. A win would take them above JEF United Chiba.
Form. Yokohama F Marinos have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D W. In this competition Yokohama F Marinos have gone D D W D W D. Tokyo Verdy have won none, drawn four and lost six of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D D. In this competition Tokyo Verdy have gone L L L D D L.
The numbers. Yokohama F Marinos score 1.3 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and two games without a goal. Yokohama F Marinos average 11.6 shots (3.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Tokyo Verdy score 0.4 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and six games without a goal. Tokyo Verdy average 7.2 shots (1.6 on target), 3.2 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 42% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Yokohama F Marinos have won four, drawn one and lost two. Five of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Yokohama F Marinos won two, one was drawn and Tokyo Verdy won one. The last time they met, on 24 May 2026, it finished Yokohama F Marinos 6-0 Tokyo Verdy: Yokohama F Marinos had 17 shots to 13, 49% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%; five of the last seven meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.
The read. Yokohama F Marinos to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Yokohama F Marinos the likelier winners; Yokohama F Marinos are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Yokohama F Marinos. Five of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Yokohama F Marinos or Draw at 1.24, 83% on the records (Yokohama F Marinos unbeaten in 8 of 10; Tokyo Verdy failed to win 10 of 10). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Yokohama F Marinos are a clear winner, no Unders); Yokohama F Marinos or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Yokohama F Marinos or draw and under 3.5 goals (Yokohama F Marinos are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Yokohama F Marinos 2-1 Tokyo Verdy (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).