Manila Digger FC vs Kasuka
Match details. AFC Challenge League. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time.
Form. Manila Digger FC have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. Kasuka have won two, drawn none and lost four of their last six, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L.
The numbers. Manila Digger FC score 2.3 and concede 0.5 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Manila Digger FC average 15.6 shots (4.9 on target), 7.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Kasuka score one and concede 3.3 a game over their last six, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Kasuka average 3.3 shots (1.0 on target), 1.3 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 94% against the records' 67%.
The read. No firm call: Manila Digger FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Manila Digger FC the likelier winners; Manila Digger FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Manila Digger FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Manila Digger FC 3-0 Kasuka (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).