Match details. AFC Challenge League. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. Borneo Samarinda have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L W. Yangon United have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W.
The numbers. Borneo Samarinda score 2.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Borneo Samarinda average 9.2 shots (4.8 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Yangon United score 2.5 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Yangon United average 13.3 shots (5.2 on target), 6.2 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 9% against the records' 58%.
The read. No firm call: Yangon United are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Yangon United the likelier winners; Yangon United are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Yangon United. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Yangon United Over 1.5 Goals (Borneo Samarinda's own games don't back it (1 of 5)). Predicted score: Borneo Samarinda 1-2 Yangon United (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).