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Borneo Samarinda vs Yangon United

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. AFC Challenge League. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.

Form. Borneo Samarinda have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L W. Yangon United have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W.

The numbers. Borneo Samarinda score 2.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Borneo Samarinda average 9.2 shots (4.8 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Yangon United score 2.5 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Yangon United average 13.3 shots (5.2 on target), 6.2 corners and 1.7 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 9% against the records' 58%.

The read. No firm call: Yangon United are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Yangon United the likelier winners; Yangon United are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Yangon United. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Yangon United Over 1.5 Goals (Borneo Samarinda's own games don't back it (1 of 5)). Predicted score: Borneo Samarinda 1-2 Yangon United (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BOR 5 of 5 (100%) · YAN 9 of 10 (90%)91.7%
Borneo Samarinda: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Yangon United: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BOR 3 of 5 (60%) · YAN 9 of 10 (90%)73.3%
Borneo Samarinda: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Yangon United: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%
YANGON UNITED GOALS
Yangon United Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BOR 9 of 10 (90%) · YAN 3 of 5 (60%)73.3%
Yangon United scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Borneo Samarinda conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70%
Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Yangon United Over 1.5 Goals (Borneo Samarinda's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–2 9.6%
Borneo Samarinda goals →
Yangon United goals ↓
0-06%
1-05%
2-04%
3-02%
4-00.5%
5-00.1%
0-18%
1-111%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.8%
5-10.2%
0-28%
1-210%
2-26%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-35%
1-36%
2-34%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-43%
2-42%
3-40.6%
4-40.2%
5-40.0%
0-50.7%
1-50.9%
2-50.6%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
BORNEO SAMARINDAWWDWLWLWDL1.70 PPG
YANGON UNITEDWDWWWWWWWL2.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
BORNEO SAMARINDA HOMExYANGON UNITED AWAY
1.60SCORED A GAME2.500.90CONCEDED A GAME0.7050%CLEAN SHEETS50%4.80CORNERS A GAME6.221.00CARDS A GAME1.67
TRENDS
Borneo Samarinda have scored in 70% of their games.
Yangon United have scored in 90% of their games.
Borneo Samarinda kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
Yangon United kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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