Alianza Atletico vs Universitario de Deportes

Match details. Liga 1, Clausura - 12. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 21:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Campeones del 36, Sullana.

What's at stake. Alianza Atletico are 6th on 22 points after 11 games, level on points with Deportivo Garcilaso, 1 point clear of Universitario. A win would take them above Deportivo Garcilaso. Universitario de Deportes are 7th on 21 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Alianza Atletico, 2 points clear of Alianza Lima. A win would take them above Alianza Atletico.

Form. Alianza Atletico have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. In this competition Alianza Atletico have gone W W L W W W. Universitario de Deportes have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D W. In this competition Universitario de Deportes have gone D L W D W W.

The numbers. Alianza Atletico score 2.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Alianza Atletico average 17.8 shots (5.2 on target), 4.8 corners and 3.6 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Universitario de Deportes score 1.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Universitario de Deportes average 13.0 shots (5.0 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Alianza Atletico have won three, drawn two and lost five. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Alianza Atletico won two and Universitario de Deportes won two. The last time they met, on 26 Apr 2026, it finished Alianza Atletico 2-1 Universitario de Deportes: Alianza Atletico had 13 shots to 17, 38% of the ball, three yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 34% against the records' 55%.

The read. No firm call: Alianza Atletico are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Alianza Atletico are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Alianza Atletico. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.34, 76% on the records (Alianza Atletico: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Universitario de Deportes: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.26. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Universitario de Deportes or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Alianza Atletico); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Universitario de Deportes or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Alianza Atletico). Predicted score: Alianza Atletico 1-2 Universitario de Deportes (9% chance).