Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano
Match details. Division de Honor, Clausura - 15. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio General Pablo Rojas, Asunción. The referee is Derlis Benitez.
What's at stake. Cerro Porteno are 7th on 20 points after 14 games, 2 points behind Club Guarani, 2 points clear of Sportivo Ameliano. A win would take them above Club Guarani. Sportivo Ameliano are 8th on 18 points after 14 games, 2 points behind Cerro Porteno, 5 points clear of Sportivo Luqueno. A win would take them above Cerro Porteno.
Form. Cerro Porteno have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W D. In this competition Cerro Porteno have gone W L L W D W. Sportivo Ameliano have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D W. In this competition Sportivo Ameliano have gone L L D D W W.
The numbers. Cerro Porteno score 0.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Cerro Porteno average 13.8 shots (3.6 on target), 6.9 corners and 0.8 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. Sportivo Ameliano score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. Sportivo Ameliano average 13.1 shots (4.6 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Cerro Porteno have won seven, drawn two and lost one. One of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Cerro Porteno won two, one was drawn and Sportivo Ameliano won one. The last time they met, on 8 Aug 2026, it finished Cerro Porteno 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano: Cerro Porteno had 11 shots to 11, 54% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The case against. Sportivo Ameliano's record still gives them 21% to win.
The read. Cerro Porteno to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Cerro Porteno the likelier winners; Cerro Porteno are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Cerro Porteno; the meetings favour Cerro Porteno. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 20%. Nine of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Cerro Porteno or Draw at 1.16, 82% on the records (Cerro Porteno unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; Sportivo Ameliano failed to win 5 of 6 away). Backup: Cerro Porteno or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Cerro Porteno or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Cerro Porteno or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Cerro Porteno 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).