Aguilas Doradas Rionegro vs CD Tolima
Match details. Liga DIMAYOR, Clausura - 15. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Alberto Grisales, Rionegro. The referee is Diego Ulloa Angulo.
What's at stake. Aguilas Doradas Rionegro are 11th on 16 points after 13 games, level on points with Once Caldas, 2 points clear of Llaneros. A win would take them above Once Caldas. CD Tolima are 8th on 20 points after 14 games, 2 points behind Santa Fe, 2 points clear of Cucuta. A win would take them above Santa Fe.
Form. Aguilas Doradas Rionegro have won one, drawn six and lost three of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L L. In this competition Aguilas Doradas Rionegro have gone D D W L L D. CD Tolima have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D D. In this competition CD Tolima have gone L D D D D L.
The numbers. Aguilas Doradas Rionegro score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Aguilas Doradas Rionegro average 13.5 shots (3.6 on target), 5.6 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. CD Tolima score one and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. CD Tolima average 16.4 shots (5.2 on target), 6.5 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Aguilas Doradas Rionegro have won three, drawn one and lost six. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Aguilas Doradas Rionegro won one and CD Tolima won three. The last time they met, on 1 Apr 2026, it finished Aguilas Doradas Rionegro 1-4 CD Tolima: Aguilas Doradas Rionegro had 6 shots to 19, 32% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Aguilas Doradas Rionegro's record still gives them 28% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.
The read. CD Tolima to win. An open game. CD Tolima are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour CD Tolima. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CD Tolima or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); CD Tolima Over 0.5 goals (CD Tolima's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Aguilas Doradas Rionegro 1-2 CD Tolima (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).