Match details. CAF Champions League, 2nd Preliminary Round. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Teungueth FC have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W. In this competition Teungueth FC have gone W W. Colombe Sportive Du Dja Et Lobo have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. In this competition Colombe Sportive Du Dja Et Lobo have gone D.
The numbers. Teungueth FC score 0.8 and concede none a game over their last ten, with ten clean sheets and three games without a goal. Teungueth FC average 7.3 shots (4.3 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Colombe Sportive Du Dja Et Lobo score 2.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Colombe Sportive Du Dja Et Lobo average 13.2 shots (3.6 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 28% against the records' 48%.
The read. No firm call: Colombe Sportive Du Dja Et Lobo are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Colombe Sportive Du Dja Et Lobo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Colombe Sportive Du Dja Et Lobo. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.14, 88% on the records (Teungueth FC: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10; Colombe Sportive Du Dja Et Lobo: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Both Teams to Score - No at 1.48. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Teungueth FC 0-0 Colombe Sportive Du Dja Et Lobo (20% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).