PSPS

16:00Sun 18 Oct

PFC Spartak Pleven vs PFC Levski Sofia

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Bulgarian Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. PFC Spartak Pleven have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W L. In this competition PFC Spartak Pleven have gone W. PFC Levski Sofia have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D L.

The numbers. PFC Spartak Pleven score 0.8 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. PFC Spartak Pleven average 10.1 shots (4.4 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game. PFC Levski Sofia score 1.3 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. PFC Levski Sofia average 11.2 shots (2.2 on target), 3.5 corners and 0.9 cards a game, with 56% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 93% against the records' 55%.

The read. No firm call: PFC Levski Sofia are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make PFC Levski Sofia the likelier winners; PFC Levski Sofia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour PFC Levski Sofia. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: PFC Spartak Pleven 1-2 PFC Levski Sofia (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PS 10 of 10 (100%) · PL 5 of 6 (83%)92.8%

PFC Spartak Pleven: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · PFC Levski Sofia: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 95%

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.12

PS 8 of 10 (80%) · PL 5 of 6 (83%)79.4%

PFC Spartak Pleven: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · PFC Levski Sofia: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 75%

PFC LEVSKI SOFIA GOALS

PFC Levski Sofia Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PS 4 of 6 (67%) · PL 9 of 10 (90%)78.9%

PFC Levski Sofia scored in 4 of 6 away · PFC Spartak Pleven conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9.8%

PFC Spartak Pleven goals →

PFC Levski Sofia goals ↓

0-07%

1-06%

2-03%

3-01%

4-00.3%

5-00.0%

0-111%

1-112%

2-15%

3-12%

4-10.4%

5-10.1%

0-210%

1-210%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.4%

5-20.1%

0-36%

1-36%

2-33%

3-30.9%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-43%

1-43%

2-41%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.9%

1-50.9%

2-50.4%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

PFC SPARTAK PLEVENLLLLWLWLWD1.00 PPG

PFC LEVSKI SOFIAWLWWWLDLWD1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

PFC SPARTAK PLEVEN HOMExPFC LEVSKI SOFIA AWAY

0.80SCORED A GAME1.702.10CONCEDED A GAME1.2010%CLEAN SHEETS40%42%FAILED TO SCORE10%5.29CORNERS A GAME3.502.29CARDS A GAME0.86

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.88POINTS A GAME2.60-1.62GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.20-3.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.61.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.68LEAGUE GAMES5

PFC Levski Sofia: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

PFC LEVSKI SOFIA 0:2 HANDICAP

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373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

77%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

53%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

90%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

PFC SPARTAK PLEVEN OR DRAW

47%

NO · 80/85

PFC LEVSKI SOFIA OR DRAW

72%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

PFC SPARTAK PLEVENxPFC LEVSKI SOFIA

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.601.80CONCEDED A GAME0.402.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.2–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.4

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

PFC Spartak Pleven have scored in 50% of their games.

PFC Levski Sofia have scored in 70% of their games.

PFC Spartak Pleven kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

PFC Levski Sofia kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards