Independiente Medellin vs CD Once Caldas

Match details. Liga DIMAYOR, Clausura - 15. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 02:10 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin. The referee is Steven Camargo.

What's at stake. Independiente Medellin are 5th on 23 points after 13 games, level on points with Atletico Nacional, 1 point clear of Santa Fe. A win would take them above Atletico Nacional. CD Once Caldas are 10th on 16 points after 13 games, 2 points behind Cucuta, level on points with Águilas Doradas. A win would take them above Cucuta.

Form. Independiente Medellin have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L W. In this competition Independiente Medellin have gone W L D L W D. CD Once Caldas have won three, drawn two and lost four of their last nine, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L W. In this competition CD Once Caldas have gone W D L L W L.

The numbers. Independiente Medellin score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Independiente Medellin average 15.8 shots (5.6 on target), 5.2 corners and 3.2 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. CD Once Caldas score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Once Caldas average 16.1 shots (6.1 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Independiente Medellin have won four, drawn four and lost two. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, Independiente Medellin won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 3 Apr 2026, it finished Independiente Medellin 1-1 CD Once Caldas: Independiente Medellin had 16 shots to 12, 45% of the ball, six yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The case against. CD Once Caldas's record still gives them 28% to win.

The read. Independiente Medellin to win. Their goals for and against make Independiente Medellin the likelier winners; Independiente Medellin are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Independiente Medellin.

The bets. Best bet: Independiente Medellin or Draw at 1.27, 73% on the records (Independiente Medellin unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home; CD Once Caldas failed to win 4 of 5 away). Backup: Independiente Medellin or Both Teams Score at 1.20. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Independiente Medellin 1-0 CD Once Caldas (10% chance).