Deportivo Toluca FC vs Atletico San Luis

Match details. Liga MX, Apertura - 12. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca. The referee is Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava.

What's at stake. Deportivo Toluca FC are 3rd on 20 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Atlas, level on points with Club Queretaro. A win would take them above Atlas. Atletico San Luis are 15th on 12 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Santos Laguna, 1 point clear of Atlante FC. A win would take them above Santos Laguna.

Form. Deportivo Toluca FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W W. In this competition Deportivo Toluca FC have gone L D L W W W. Atletico San Luis have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L. In this competition Atletico San Luis have gone L W W L L W.

The numbers. Deportivo Toluca FC score three and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Deportivo Toluca FC average 17.4 shots (6.0 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. Atletico San Luis score 1.6 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Atletico San Luis average 12.6 shots (4.4 on target), 2.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Deportivo Toluca FC have won seven, drawn one and lost two. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Deportivo Toluca FC won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 13 Apr 2026, it finished Deportivo Toluca FC 1-1 Atletico San Luis: Deportivo Toluca FC had 24 shots to 8, 61% of the ball, four yellow cards.

The case against. Atletico San Luis's record still gives them 28% to win.

The read. Deportivo Toluca FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Deportivo Toluca FC the likelier winners; Deportivo Toluca FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Deportivo Toluca FC; the meetings favour Deportivo Toluca FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 80%.

The bets. Best bet: Deportivo Toluca FC 1UP at 1.16, 89% on the records (Deportivo Toluca FC scored first 5 of last 5, led in 5; led in 6 of 6 at home). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Deportivo Toluca FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Atletico San Luis Under 1.5 goals (Atletico San Luis's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (Deportivo Toluca FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Deportivo Toluca FC 2-1 Atletico San Luis (10% chance).