Club Leon vs CF America
Match details. Liga MX, Apertura - 12. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio León, Leon. The referee is Ismael Rosario Lopez Penuelas.
What's at stake. Club Leon are 6th on 18 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Guadalajara Chivas, 1 point clear of Cruz Azul. A win would take them above Guadalajara Chivas. CF America are 1st on 21 points after 10 games, level on points with Atlas.
Form. Club Leon have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W L. In this competition Club Leon have gone D W D W L D. CF America have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L W. In this competition CF America have gone D W D L W W.
The numbers. Club Leon score 1.3 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Club Leon average 13.4 shots (5.2 on target), 3.1 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. CF America score 2.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. CF America average 20.4 shots (7.6 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Club Leon have won one, drawn five and lost four. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Club Leon won one, one was drawn and CF America won two. The last time they met, on 6 Sep 2026, it finished Club Leon 1-0 CF America: Club Leon had 8 shots to 15, 45% of the ball, eight yellow cards.
The case against. Club Leon's record still gives them 29% to win.
The read. CF America to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CF America the likelier winners; CF America are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour CF America. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or CF America at 1.32, 72% on the records (CF America unbeaten in 4 of 5 away; Club Leon failed to win 5 of 10). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: CF America or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CF America or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Club Leon 0-1 CF America (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).