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MEXICO - LIGA MX
CD Guadalajara crestCGCDG
00:07Sun 18 Oct
TIGTigres UANL crestTU

CD Guadalajara vs Tigres UANL

CLASS D
THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
74
TOTAL GOALS
Class D
CD Guadalajara crestCGvTigres UANL crestTU
Under 3.5 Goals
CD Guadalajara v Tigres UANL
Mexico - Liga MX · 00:07
1.39odds
72%book
+2edge
3/3angles
THE READ

Match details. Liga MX, Apertura - 12. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 00:07 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Akron, Guadalajara. The referee is Fernando Hernandez Gomez.

What's at stake. CD Guadalajara are 5th on 19 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Club Queretaro, 1 point clear of Leon. A win would take them above Club Queretaro. Tigres UANL are 13th on 13 points after 11 games, level on points with CF Pachuca, level on points with Santos Laguna. A win would take them above CF Pachuca.

Form. CD Guadalajara have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W W. In this competition CD Guadalajara have gone D L D W W D. Tigres UANL have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D D. In this competition Tigres UANL have gone W W L D D D.

The numbers. CD Guadalajara score 1.8 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. CD Guadalajara average 12.4 shots (5.0 on target), 6.4 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 58% of the ball. Tigres UANL score 0.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Tigres UANL average 16.4 shots (5.5 on target), 6.1 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings CD Guadalajara have won one, drawn four and lost four. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, CD Guadalajara won one, one was drawn and Tigres UANL won two. The last time they met, on 10 May 2026, it finished CD Guadalajara 2-0 Tigres UANL: CD Guadalajara had 29 shots to 5, 69% of the ball, four yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. CD Guadalajara are the form side, but the meetings favour Tigres UANL: in the last nine meetings, CD Guadalajara won one, Tigres UANL won four and four were drawn.

The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.39, 74% on the records (CD Guadalajara: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10; Tigres UANL: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Tigres UANL or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CD Guadalajara or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Guadalajara 1-1 Tigres UANL (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.14
CDG 9 of 10 (90%) · TIG 4 of 5 (80%)88%
CD Guadalajara: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tigres UANL: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6 · CD Guadalajara: only games against sides at Tigres UANL's level · Tigres UANL: only games against sides at CD Guadalajara's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.39
CDG 8 of 10 (80%) · TIG 4 of 5 (80%)74%
CD Guadalajara: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tigres UANL: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · CD Guadalajara: only games against sides at Tigres UANL's level · Tigres UANL: only games against sides at CD Guadalajara's level
Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Tigres UANL or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); CD Guadalajara or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.1%
CD Guadalajara goals →
Tigres UANL goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
CD GUADALAJARAWDWWDWWDLD1.90 PPG
TIGRES UANLDLLWDDDLWW1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CD GUADALAJARA HOMExTIGRES UANL AWAY
1.80SCORED A GAME1.200.90CONCEDED A GAME1.2040%CLEAN SHEETS40%18%FAILED TO SCORE27%6.38CORNERS A GAME6.121.75CARDS A GAME1.881.25xG1.451.15xG AGAINST1.15
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.90POINTS A GAME1.80+0.90GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.40+2.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.51.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.810LEAGUE GAMES5
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
58%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
27%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
87%
OKAY · 85/90
CD GUADALAJARA OR DRAW
80%
OKAY · 80/85
TIGRES UANL OR DRAW
58%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CD GUADALAJARAxTIGRES UANL
5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.001.00CONCEDED A GAME0.602.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.6100%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%40%BOTH SCORE40%3.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–11.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
CD GUADALAJARA 1 · 11%DRAW 4TIGRES UANL 4 · 44%
4 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
6 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
3 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
3 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2023-05-26CD Guadalajara 0 – 0 Tigres UANL
2023-10-29CD Guadalajara 0 – 4 Tigres UANL
2024-01-22CD Guadalajara 0 – 1 Tigres UANL
2024-08-25CD Guadalajara 1 – 1 Tigres UANL
2025-01-26CD Guadalajara 1 – 1 Tigres UANL
2025-09-18CD Guadalajara 0 – 0 Tigres UANL
2026-04-11CD Guadalajara 1 – 4 Tigres UANL
2026-05-03CD Guadalajara 1 – 3 Tigres UANL
TRENDS
CD Guadalajara failed to score in 18% of their games.
Tigres UANL failed to score in 27% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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