Match details. Serie B, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at Arena Garibaldi, Pizza. The referee is Maco Di Loreto.
What's at stake. SC Pisa are 7th on 10 points after 6 games, level on points with Avellino, level on points with Benevento. A win would take them above Avellino. US Cremonese are 15th on 6 points after 6 games, level on points with Virtus Entella, 1 point clear of Vicenza Virtus. A win would take them above Virtus Entella.
Form. SC Pisa have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L W. US Cremonese have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W W.
The numbers. SC Pisa score 0.8 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. SC Pisa average 11.1 shots (4.8 on target), 4.3 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. US Cremonese score one and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. US Cremonese average 9.6 shots (3.9 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings SC Pisa have won four, drawn two and lost three. Six of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, SC Pisa won three and US Cremonese won one. The last time they met, on 10 May 2026, it finished SC Pisa 0-3 US Cremonese: SC Pisa had 0 shots to 10, 23% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%; six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. US Cremonese's record still gives them 27% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The read. SC Pisa or the draw. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.27, 75% on the records (SC Pisa: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6; US Cremonese: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: SC Pisa or draw and under 3.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: SC Pisa 1-1 US Cremonese (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).