Match details. Prva Liga. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Backa Topola have won five, drawn five and lost none of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D D. FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W W.
The numbers. Backa Topola score 2.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Backa Topola average 6.4 corners and 3.2 cards a game. FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac score 0.8 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac average 6.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 79% against the records' 33%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The read. No firm call: Backa Topola are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Backa Topola the likelier winners; Backa Topola are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Backa Topola Over 0.5 Goals (FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Backa Topola Over 1.5 Goals (FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac's own games don't back it (0 of 5)). Predicted score: Backa Topola 1-1 FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac (12% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BAC 5 of 5 (100%) · FKM 5 of 5 (100%)94.6%
Backa Topola: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Backa Topola: only games against sides at FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac's level · FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac: only games against sides at Backa Topola's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BAC 4 of 5 (80%) · FKM 3 of 5 (60%)94%
Backa Topola: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac: over 0.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Backa Topola: only games against sides at FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac's level · FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac: only games against sides at Backa Topola's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BAC 4 of 5 (80%) · FKM 5 of 5 (100%)87.2%
Backa Topola: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Backa Topola: only games against sides at FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac's level · FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac: only games against sides at Backa Topola's level
Left off the list: Backa Topola Over 0.5 Goals (FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Backa Topola Over 1.5 Goals (FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac's own games don't back it (0 of 5))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–111.9%
Backa Topola goals →
FK Metalac Gornji… goals ↓
0-07%
1-010%
2-010%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.8%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-16%
4-12%
5-10.8%
0-23%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.5%
2-40.4%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).
FORM · LAST 10
BACKA TOPOLAWWDDDWWDWD2.00 PPG
FK METALAC GORNJI MILANOVACLDWWWWDLLD1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
BACKA TOPOLA HOMExFK METALAC GORNJI MILANOVAC AWAY
2.15SCORED A GAME1.231.08CONCEDED A GAME1.1580%BOTH SCORED20%20%CLEAN SHEETS60%6.36CORNERS A GAME6.003.18CARDS A GAME2.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
FK METALAC GORNJI MILANOVAC 0:3 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.14POINTS A GAME1.42+1.57GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.08+7.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.22.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.07LEAGUE GAMES12
Backa Topola: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.
BACKA TOPOLA 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
71%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
62%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
61%
NO · 85/90
BACKA TOPOLA OR DRAW
77%
NO · 80/85
FK METALAC GORNJI MILANOVAC OR DRAW
60%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
BACKA TOPOLAxFK METALAC GORNJI MILANOVAC
5GAMES52.80SCORED A GAME1.000.80CONCEDED A GAME0.803.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Backa Topola have scored in 90% of their games.
FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac have scored in 50% of their games.
Backa Topola kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards