Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. SD Gernika Club have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W W. SD Amorebieta have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L.
The numbers. SD Gernika Club score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. SD Gernika Club average 8.8 shots (3.8 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.4 cards a game. SD Amorebieta score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. SD Amorebieta average 10.2 shots (4.8 on target), 4.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make SD Amorebieta the likelier winners, but SD Gernika Club are the stronger side on form and the table.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: SD Gernika Club or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); SD Gernika Club or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); SD Gernika Club or Both Teams Score (no result call). Predicted score: SD Gernika Club 1-1 SD Amorebieta (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).