SBSIO

16:00Sat 17 Oct

FCG

Sioni Bolnisi vs FC Gori

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Erovnuli Liga 2. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.

Form. Sioni Bolnisi have won two, drawn two and lost five of their last nine league games, 0.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L D D. FC Gori have won four, drawn two and lost three of their last nine league games, 1.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W D L D W.

The numbers. Sioni Bolnisi score 1.1 and concede 1.9 a game over their last nine, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Sioni Bolnisi average 4.2 corners and 2.1 cards a game. FC Gori score 1.8 and concede 1.3 a game over their last nine, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Gori average 4.6 corners and 2.3 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.

The case against. Sioni Bolnisi's record still gives them 28% to win.

The read. FC Gori to win. FC Gori are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Gori.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Sioni Bolnisi 0-1 FC Gori (8% chance).

The agreed story. FC Gori or the draw, goals in between.

The league run. Sioni Bolnisi: lost their last two league games (L L L D D). FC Gori: one defeat in their last five league games (W D L D W).

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

FC Gori or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCG 5 of 5 (100%) · SIO 6 of 8 (75%)85.3%

FC Gori scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Sioni Bolnisi trailed or failed to win in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Gori: only games against sides at Sioni Bolnisi's level · Sioni Bolnisi: only games against sides at FC Gori's level

FC Gori or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCG 6 of 9 (67%) · SIO 7 of 9 (78%)56%

FC Gori: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Sioni Bolnisi: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · FC Gori: only games against sides at Sioni Bolnisi's level · Sioni Bolnisi: only games against sides at FC Gori's level

FC Gori or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCG 7 of 9 (78%) · SIO 7 of 9 (78%)48.3%

FC Gori: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Sioni Bolnisi: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · FC Gori: only games against sides at Sioni Bolnisi's level · Sioni Bolnisi: only games against sides at FC Gori's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SIO 9 of 9 (100%) · FCG 9 of 9 (100%)92.4%

Sioni Bolnisi: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Gori: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Sioni Bolnisi: only games against sides at FC Gori's level · FC Gori: only games against sides at Sioni Bolnisi's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SIO 7 of 9 (78%) · FCG 7 of 9 (78%)81.2%

Sioni Bolnisi: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Gori: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Sioni Bolnisi: only games against sides at FC Gori's level · FC Gori: only games against sides at Sioni Bolnisi's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SIO 6 of 9 (67%) · FCG 7 of 9 (78%)36.8%

Sioni Bolnisi: both scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Gori: both scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Sioni Bolnisi: only games against sides at FC Gori's level · FC Gori: only games against sides at Sioni Bolnisi's level

SIONI BOLNISI GOALS

Sioni Bolnisi Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SIO 7 of 9 (78%) · FCG 9 of 9 (100%)56.2%

Sioni Bolnisi scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Gori conceded in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Sioni Bolnisi: only games against sides at FC Gori's level · FC Gori: only games against sides at Sioni Bolnisi's level

FC GORI GOALS

FC Gori Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCG 7 of 9 (78%) · SIO 8 of 9 (89%)73%

FC Gori scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Sioni Bolnisi conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · FC Gori: only games against sides at Sioni Bolnisi's level · Sioni Bolnisi: only games against sides at FC Gori's level

Left off the list: FC Gori 1UP (the numbers (52%) and the records (73%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 8.4%

Sioni Bolnisi goals →

FC Gori goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-06%

3-03%

4-01.0%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

SIONI BOLNISILLLDDWWLLL0.80 PPG

FC GORIWDLDWWLLWL1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SIONI BOLNISI HOMExFC GORI AWAY

1.25SCORED A GAME1.041.32CONCEDED A GAME1.2960%BOTH SCORED70%10%CLEAN SHEETS0%4.23CORNERS A GAME4.582.08CARDS A GAME2.27

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.00POINTS A GAME1.56-0.75GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.44-3.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.80.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.68LEAGUE GAMES9

FC Gori: the quality side - a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

FC GORI 0:2 HANDICAP

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373 OF 433

PRICE NOT KEPT

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

85%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

76%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

76%

NO · 85/90

SIONI BOLNISI OR DRAW

71%

NO · 80/85

FC GORI OR DRAW

44%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

SIONI BOLNISIxFC GORI

5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.802.20CONCEDED A GAME1.603.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%80%BOTH SCORE100%3.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–8.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Sioni Bolnisi have scored in 70% of their games.

FC Gori have scored in 70% of their games.

Sioni Bolnisi kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

FC Gori kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards