FC Emmen vs Almere City FC
Match details. Eerste Divisie. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:30 Lagos time.
Form. FC Emmen have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L L. Almere City FC have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W.
The numbers. FC Emmen score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. FC Emmen average 6.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Almere City FC score 2.8 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Almere City FC average 4.9 corners and 1.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Almere City FC are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour FC Emmen.
The case against. FC Emmen's record still gives them 47% to win.
The read. Almere City FC or the draw. An open game. Almere City FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Emmen. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.14, 77% on the records (FC Emmen: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Almere City FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: Almere City FC win or both teams score at 1.20. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Almere City FC or draw and over 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FC Emmen 1-2 Almere City FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).