Match details. Isthmian League, Pr. Div. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. Dulwich Hamlet have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. Carshalton Athletic FC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W D.
The numbers. Dulwich Hamlet score 2.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Dulwich Hamlet average 3.0 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Carshalton Athletic FC score 1.8 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Carshalton Athletic FC average 7.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The case against. Carshalton Athletic FC's record still gives them 31% to win.
The read. Dulwich Hamlet to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Dulwich Hamlet the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Dulwich Hamlet. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 76%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.17, 76% on the records (Dulwich Hamlet: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6; Carshalton Athletic FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7). Backup: Dulwich Hamlet or Carshalton Athletic FC at 1.23. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Dulwich Hamlet or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Carshalton Athletic FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Dulwich Hamlet); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Dulwich Hamlet 2-1 Carshalton Athletic FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).