ENGLAND AMATEUR - SOUTHERN LEAGUE PREMIER CENTRAL

BTBUR

15:00Sat 17 Oct

STO

Bury Town FC vs Stourbridge FC

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Southern League Premier Central. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

Form. Bury Town FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D W. Stourbridge FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W.

The numbers. Bury Town FC score 1.4 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Stourbridge FC score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Stourbridge FC average 6.0 corners and 0.5 cards a game.

The case against. Stourbridge FC's record still gives them 32% to win.

The read. Bury Town FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Bury Town FC the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Bury Town FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Bury Town FC 1-0 Stourbridge FC (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BUR 5 of 5 (100%) · STO 8 of 8 (100%)95.4%

Bury Town FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Stourbridge FC: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Bury Town FC: only games against sides at Stourbridge FC's level · Stourbridge FC: only games against sides at Bury Town FC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BUR 4 of 5 (80%) · STO 7 of 8 (88%)88.3%

Bury Town FC: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Stourbridge FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · Bury Town FC: only games against sides at Stourbridge FC's level · Stourbridge FC: only games against sides at Bury Town FC's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 10.6%

Bury Town FC goals →

Stourbridge FC goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-08%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.7%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

BURY TOWN FCLWLDWLWWLW1.60 PPG

STOURBRIDGE FCWWLDWLDLLD1.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BURY TOWN FC HOMExSTOURBRIDGE FC AWAY

1.73SCORED A GAME1.271.18CONCEDED A GAME1.2750%BOTH SCORED70%20%CLEAN SHEETS10%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.27POINTS A GAME1.45+0.45GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.411LEAGUE GAMES11

Bury Town FC: the quality side - more points a game.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

66%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

47%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

88%

OKAY · 85/90

BURY TOWN FC OR DRAW

71%

NO · 80/85

STOURBRIDGE FC OR DRAW

65%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

BURY TOWN FCxSTOURBRIDGE FC

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.401.60CONCEDED A GAME0.803.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.260%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%20%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Bury Town FC have scored in 70% of their games.

Stourbridge FC have scored in 70% of their games.

Bury Town FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Stourbridge FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague table