Lancaster City vs Leek Town FC
Match details. Northern Premier League Premier. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. Lancaster City have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W W. Leek Town FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W L.
The numbers. Lancaster City score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Lancaster City average 4.0 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Leek Town FC score 2.7 and concede two a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Leek Town FC average 4.6 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
The case against. Leek Town FC's record still gives them 24% to win.
The read. Lancaster City to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Lancaster City the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Lancaster City. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 83%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.21, 79% on the records (Lancaster City: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6; Leek Town FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7). Backup: Lancaster City or Leek Town FC at 1.25. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Lancaster City or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Leek Town FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Lancaster City); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Lancaster City 2-1 Leek Town FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).