Match details. League Two. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. Crewe Alexandra have won three, drawn seven and lost none of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D W. Rochdale AFC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W D.
The numbers. Crewe Alexandra score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Crewe Alexandra average 4.9 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Rochdale AFC score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Rochdale AFC average 4.4 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 53% against the records' 25%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 31%.
The read. No firm call: Crewe Alexandra are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Crewe Alexandra the likelier winners; Crewe Alexandra are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Crewe Alexandra Over 0.5 goals (Rochdale AFC's own games don't back it (4 of 8)). Predicted score: Crewe Alexandra 1-1 Rochdale AFC (12% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Crewe Alexandra or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
1.18
CRE 7 of 8 (88%) · ROC 4 of 8 (50%)72.7%
Crewe Alexandra: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Rochdale AFC: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Crewe Alexandra: only games against sides at Rochdale AFC's level · Rochdale AFC: only games against sides at Crewe Alexandra's level
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.13
CRE 8 of 8 (100%) · ROC 7 of 8 (88%)87.9%
Crewe Alexandra: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Rochdale AFC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Crewe Alexandra: only games against sides at Rochdale AFC's level · Rochdale AFC: only games against sides at Crewe Alexandra's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.73
CRE 6 of 8 (75%) · ROC 3 of 8 (38%)52.1%
Crewe Alexandra: both scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Rochdale AFC: both scored in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · Crewe Alexandra: only games against sides at Rochdale AFC's level · Rochdale AFC: only games against sides at Crewe Alexandra's level
ROCHDALE AFC GOALS
Rochdale AFC Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.35
CRE 5 of 8 (62%) · ROC 7 of 8 (88%)70.5%
Rochdale AFC scored under 1.5 in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Crewe Alexandra conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Rochdale AFC: only games against sides at Crewe Alexandra's level · Crewe Alexandra: only games against sides at Rochdale AFC's level
Rochdale AFC Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.44
CRE 6 of 8 (75%) · ROC 6 of 8 (75%)61.7%
Rochdale AFC scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Crewe Alexandra conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Rochdale AFC: only games against sides at Crewe Alexandra's level · Crewe Alexandra: only games against sides at Rochdale AFC's level
Left off the list: Crewe Alexandra Over 0.5 goals (Rochdale AFC's own games don't back it (4 of 8))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–112.1%
Crewe Alexandra goals →
Rochdale AFC goals ↓
0-07%
1-011%
2-010%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.8%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-16%
4-12%
5-10.8%
0-23%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.5%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).
FORM · LAST 10
CREWE ALEXANDRAWDWDWDDDDD1.60 PPG
ROCHDALE AFCDLWWDWDLWL1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CREWE ALEXANDRA HOMExROCHDALE AFC AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME1.100.70CONCEDED A GAME1.2080%BOTH SCORED40%20%CLEAN SHEETS40%4.90CORNERS A GAME4.401.70CARDS A GAME1.60
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
ROCHDALE AFC 0:3 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.80POINTS A GAME1.40+0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.10-1.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.81.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.210LEAGUE GAMES10
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
62%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
32%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
97%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CREWE ALEXANDRA OR DRAW
92%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
ROCHDALE AFC OR DRAW
61%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CREWE ALEXANDRAxROCHDALE AFC
5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME0.601.00CONCEDED A GAME1.202.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Crewe Alexandra have scored in 90% of their games.
Rochdale AFC have scored in 70% of their games.
Crewe Alexandra kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Rochdale AFC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards